The Baltimore Orioles host the Chicago Cubs on July 8, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MARQ.
The Orioles are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cubs are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Cubs vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction
- Cubs vs Orioles Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 HRR & Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases
My Cubs vs Orioles best bet is a Pete Crow-Armstrong same-game parlay. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cubs vs Orioles Odds
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +155 | 10 -105o / -112u | +105 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -189 | 10 -105o / -112u | -125 |
- Cubs vs Orioles moneyline: Cubs +105, Orioles -125
- Cubs vs Orioles over/under: 10 (-105o / -112u)
- Cubs vs Orioles spread: Orioles -1.5 (+155 ), Cubs +1.5 (-189)
Cubs vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Colin Rea | Stat | Dean Kremer |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0 |
| 4.74 / 5.50 | ERA / xERA | 3.18 / 3.93 |
| 4.87 / 4.81 | FIP / xFIP | 5.12 / 2.82 |
| 8.6 | K-BB% | 26.2 |
| 44.3 | GB% | 39 |
| .297 | BABIP | .189 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 99 | Location+ | 99 |
Cubs vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Cubs vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis
The Cubs and Orioles will duke it out in a game that I expect to deliver many runs.
In just under 90 frames, right-handed veteran Colin Rea has been abysmal with his 4.74 ERA to start the season.
Granted, he has actually improved over his last few outings, having allowed just three earned runs in his last 15 innings pitched.
And while Rea has been quite volatile, Orioles' righty Dean Kremer has had far more luck in 2026 thus far, largely due to the fact that he has made just three starts in 2026 to date, having just recently been re-activated from the IL.
Kremer was quite impressive, recording a 3.18 ERA along with a 0.88 WHIP throughout his first 15 frames on the mound.
Like Rea, despite Baltimore’s righty entering this contest in stable form, I worry about both starters’ susceptibility to increased barrel rates in 2026.
That said, I will be looking to back Cubs’ lefty slugger Pete Crow-Armstrong to build upon his scorching form at the plate thus far by exceeding both his 1.5 Total Base line, in addition to his 1.5 HRR (Hits + Runs + RBIs) mark.
According to BARTOLO, a new statistical baseball model generated by Action Network’s Sean Zerillo, Kremer’s sizable 2.65 home-run rate to opposing hitters may foreshadow big problems before his matchup with one of baseball’s premier sluggers.
Though Kremer does a great job keeping balls on the ground or in the zone, Crow-Armstrong could smash a pitch left over the plate, with the Cubs’ star boasting a ridiculous .527 SLG%.
Picks:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 HRR (-144)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (-104)
