The Los Angeles Angels host the Boston Red Sox on July 4, 2026. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Red Sox are favored by -164 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are +138 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction
- Red Sox vs Angels Pick: Red Sox ML (-175 or Better)
My Red Sox vs Angels best bet is on Boston. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Angels Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +106 | 8.5 -108o / -112u | -164 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -128 | 8.5 -108o / -112u | +138 |
- Red Sox vs Angels moneyline: Red Sox -164, Angels +138
- Red Sox vs Angels over/under: 8.5 (-108o / -112u)
- Red Sox vs Angels spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+106), Angels +1.5 (-128)
Red Sox vs Angels Probable Pitchers
| Sonny Gray (RHP, BOS) | Stat | Sam Aldegheri (LHP, LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-1 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 2.69 / 3.61 | ERA / xERA | 4.85 / 5.04 |
| 3.58 / 3.59 | FIP / xFIP | 4.93 / 5.52 |
| 16.0% | K-BB% | 5.3% |
| 47.3% | GB% | 33.0% |
| .275 | BABIP | .274 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 89 |
| 98 | Location+ | 98 |
Red Sox vs Angels MLB Betting Preview
We’re all underestimating the job that Sonny Gray has done in Boston this season.
He’s been the steady hand in an unstable environment. He’s been a workhorse, tossing at least six innings in six consecutive starts. He’s run above-average Stuff+ (104) and Location+ (100) ratings during the stretch.
While his 2.69 ERA is bloated by an 84% strand rate, his earned run indicators are all below four (3.61 xERA, 3.59 xFIP, 3.75 botERA). He has a really good slider and pairs it with a fine curveball, and that’s helped him maintain an above-average batted-ball profile.
Regardless, Gray has done enough for the Red Sox to be 11-4 in his starts this season.
On the other hand, I just don’t think Sam Aldegheri is that good. He doesn’t have big-league stuff, with a career 89 Stuff+ rating and a career 3.3% strikeout-minus-walk rate. It’s really hard to survive in this league with a 92-MPH fastball and average secondary stuff (104 Stuff+ cutter, 101 Stuff+ slider).
Red Sox vs Angels Pick, Betting Analysis
As they do against most opponents, the Red Sox will have a significant defensive advantage in this game.
And compared to the Angels, Zerillo projects Boston’s lineup with a slightly better wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Suffice it to say, I’ll be wearing red, white, blue, and Gray on this 4th of July.
Pick: Red Sox ML (-175 or Better)
