The Chicago White Sox host the Boston Red Sox on July 7, 2026. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CHSN.
The Red Sox are favored by -124 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are +106 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction
- Red Sox vs White Sox Pick: Red Sox ML (-130 or Better)
My Red Sox vs White Sox best bet is on the Red Sox. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs White Sox Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +136 | 8.5 -106o / -114u | -124 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -164 | 8.5 -106o / -114u | +106 |
- Red Sox vs White Sox moneyline: Red Sox -126, White Sox +106
- Red Sox vs White Sox over/under: 8.5 (-106o / -114u)
- Red Sox vs White Sox spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+136), White Sox +1.5 (-164)
Red Sox vs White Sox Probable Pitchers
| Payton Tolle (LHP, BOS) | Stat | Noah Schultz (LHP, CHW) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | W-L | 2-5 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 3.39 / 3.20 | ERA / xERA | 5.86 / 5.47 |
| 3.53 / 4.16 | FIP / xFIP | 4.86 / 5.22 |
| 16.7% | K-BB% | 7.5% |
| 34.3% | GB% | 36.8% |
| .263 | BABIP | .243 |
| 114 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 97 | Location+ | 95 |
Red Sox vs White Sox MLB Betting Preview
Thanks to their current 8-2 surge, the Red Sox now sit just four games back of the final AL Wild Card spot and have a pair of favorable series against the White Sox and Mets before the All-Star break. They're one of just six American League teams with a positive run differential, and it may not be that foolish to believe their season hasn't been rendered meaningless just yet.
With Payton Tolle set to face off against struggling rookie Noah Schultz in the series opener, the Red Sox appear to have a good opportunity to build on their recent surge.
Schultz, a 2022 first-round selection, was fairly dominant across 22 innings in Triple-A this season and is considered to have some meaningful upside at the MLB level.
Still, it feels as though Schultz is getting a fair bit of credit relative to Tolle, given Tuesday's prices, considering that to this point he's pitched to an xERA of 5.47 and a 5.22 xFIP across 43 innings. He also holds a Pitching+ of 91, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 9.5%, and has allowed a barrel rate of 11.3%.
Red Sox vs White Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
Over his last 56 2/3 innings, Tolle has posted a 3.81 ERA and a 3.58 xERA. He holds a Pitching+ rating of 113 in that span, and allowed a hard-hit rate of 33.1%.
The White Sox have been hard on lefties this season (seventh in wRC+), but, since May 1st, the Red Sox have hit to a superior wRC+ of 118 versus southpaws.
The Red Sox bullpen has been a strength this season, posting an 3.38 ERA, and though it's been a sore spot over the last 30 days, it still ranks third in the Pitching+ rating in that span.
We seem to be getting a good price to ride with the red-hot Red Sox as they attempt to continue surging back into relevancy in the mediocre AL.
Pick: Red Sox ML (-130 or Better)
