Yankees vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Yankees at Rays

8:10 pm • BSSUN

New York Yankees

8-6

3 - 2

Tampa Bay Rays

7-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Rasmussen			2.62	4-2
D.German			4.56	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	N/A	N/A	N/A
Rays 7-7	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

May 06, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

NYY +150

$1.50

NYY +152

0.46u

TB -1.5+130

0.5u

TB -172 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -180

NYY +155

1.71u

TB -172 (F5)

Rasmussen estimators avg nearly 3/4 run better than German - TBR 147/141/153 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, NYY 83/89/51 - TBR def 4 Runs Prevented edge

MLB System Fading Public in Yankees-Rays
Alex Kolodziej•
May 6, 2023 UTC
Saturday NRFI Picks: Back Drew Rasmussen & Spencer Strider
Shayne Trail•
May 6, 2023 UTC

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The Yankees are just 0-7 (.000) when underdogs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an OPS of just .434 this season -- 10th worst among hitters with at least 45 total PA's-- second Percentile. Yonny Chirinos has allowed an OPS of just .371 (50 PAs) this season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Oswaldo Cabrera has an OPS of just .499 this season -- fifth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Yonny Chirinos has allowed an OPS of just .371 (50 PAs) this season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Domingo German has a strike rate of 72% (104/144) in two strike counts this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .120 (10-for-83) against Domingo German's non-fastballs this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rays' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	7-7	3-2	4-5	3-4	4-3
Yankees	8-6	3-3	5-3	7-6	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	9-4-1	3-2	6-2-1	5-1-1	4-3
Yankees	5-7-2	3-2-1	2-5-1	4-7-2	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	7-7	3-2	4-5	3-4	4-3
Yankees	8-6	3-3	5-3	7-6	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	NYY	W 5-4	-	-	-
May 4th	PIT	W 3-2	-	-	-
May 3rd	PIT	W 8-1	-	-	-
May 2nd	PIT	W 4-1	-	-	-
Apr 30th	@CWS	L 9-12	-	-	-

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out

Carlos Rodon
SP
Rodon is out with elbow
Out
Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Volpe
SS
Volpe is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.German, P	81	5	5	2
LW.Peralta, P	11	0.2	0	0
RR.Marinaccio, P	17	1.1	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	7	1	0	0
RI.Hamilton, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0
2A.Rizzo, 1B	1-5	1	0
3G.Torres, 2B	1-4	1	0
4D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	1	1
5W.Calhoun, DH	1-3	0	0
6J.Bauers, RF	0-2	0	0
6H.Bader, PH	2-2	0	2
6H.Bader, CF	2-2	0	2
7I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	2-4	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, RF	2-4	0	0
8A. Hicks, LF	0-4	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Rasmussen, P	87	5.2	6	0
RR.Thompson, P	1	0.1	0	0
LJ.Beeks, P	19	1.1	2	1
RK.Kelly, P	19	0.2	0	2
J.Guerra, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-2	1	0
2W. Franco, SS	1-4	1	0
3R.Arozarena, DH	1-4	0	0
4B.Lowe, 2B	0-4	0	0
5M.Margot, CF	2-4	0	2
5M.Margot, RF	2-4	0	2
6J.Lowe, RF	0-2	0	0
6H.Ramirez, PH	1-1	0	0
6J.Siri, PR	0-1	0	0
6J.Siri, CF	0-1	0	0
7T.Walls, 3B	0-3	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	2-4	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	1-2	0	0
9I.Paredes, PH	0-1	0	0