Yankees vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Yankees at Rangers

6:35 pm • MLB Network

New York Yankees

28-19

2 - 15

Texas Rangers

25-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			4.45	10-4
N.Cortes			4.97	5-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 28-19	-1.5+130	o8.5+100	-125
Rangers 25-24	+1.5-158	u8.5-120	+105

Sunday 6:35 p.m.

April 30, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

NYY -125

NYY o4-122

0.55u

NYY -125

1.25u

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -125

Under 4.5 (F5)-114

0.57u

Bet to -135

Under 8-110

0.55u

Project 7.5; neither lineup hits lefties well. Both bullpens top 10 ERA/FIP

Systems, Projections, Pros Agree on Yankees-Rangers
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 30, 2023 UTC

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The Yankees are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Rangers are 10-2 (.833) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

Josh Smith has an OPS of just .557 since last season -- eighth worst among hitters with at least 282 total PA's-- second Percentile. Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of just .575 (730 PAs) since last season -- 11th best among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (10/63) against Nestor Cortes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 12% (4/34) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (7/41) against Martin Perez on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 12th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (89/148) against Martin Perez when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 40% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 10-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Rangers' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	28-21	18-9	10-12	14-10	13-11
Yankees	25-22	15-10	10-12	23-18	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	15-33-1	6-21	9-12-1	8-16	7-16-1
Yankees	21-24-2	11-14	10-10-2	19-21-1	2-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	25-24	17-10	8-14	17-7	7-17
Yankees	28-19	16-9	12-10	27-14	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	NYY	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	TEX -164
Apr 29th	NYY	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	TEX -235
Apr 28th	NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	NYY +150
Apr 26th	@CIN	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -110
Apr 25th	@CIN	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -130

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

Jon Gray
SP
Gray is out with wrist
Out
Evan Carter
CF
Evan Carter (quad) scratched Saturday.
Out
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	100	4.2	7	7
RA. Abreu, P	41	1	1	6
LN.Ramirez, P	30	2.1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	0	0
2O.Peraza, 3B	1-4	0	1
3A.Rizzo, DH	0-4	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, 1B	0-2	0	0
4W.Calhoun, RF	0-1	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	1-4	1	0
6O.Cabrera, RF	0-3	0	0
6O.Cabrera, 1B	0-3	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	2-4	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	0	1
9A. Hicks, LF	2-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	70	6	2	1
RI. Kennedy, P	12	1	1	0
LC.Ragans, P	12	1	2	0
RY.Rodriguez, P	33	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
2R.Grossman, DH	1-3	3	0	1
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-2	3	1	2
3B. Miller, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3B. Miller, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	2-3	3	1	1
4J.Smith, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Jung, 3B	2-4	3	1	5
6J.Heim, C	3-4	2	1	3
6S. León, C	1-1	0	0	1
7E.Duran, SS	1-5	0	0	2
8B.Thompson, LF	0-5	0	0	0
8B.Thompson, RF	0-5	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-3	0	0	0