Yankees vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Yankees at Rangers

6:35 pm • MLB Network

New York Yankees

8-6

2 - 15

Texas Rangers

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			4.45	10-4
N.Cortes			4.97	5-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+130	o8.5+100	-125
Rangers 0-0	+1.5-158	u8.5-120	+105

Sunday 6:35 p.m.

April 30, 2023

Globe Life FieldArlington

NYY -125

NYY -116

1.16u

Was on Texas yesterday but I’m sorry, in what world is Martin Perez this close to EV against Nestor?! This is just a bad line to me even if Judge is out. Project this closer to (-130) Yankees have clear pitching/bullpen edge. Losing Judge hurts, but this line has become a bit of an overreaction

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -125

Under 4.5 (F5)-114

0.57u

Bet to -135

NYY -112 (F5)

1.12u

NYY -116

1.16u

Under 8-110

0.55u

Project 7.5; neither lineup hits lefties well. Both bullpens top 10 ERA/FIP

Systems, Projections, Pros Agree on Yankees-Rangers
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 30, 2023 UTC

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The Yankees are just 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Rangers are 10-2 (.833) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

Josh Smith has an OPS of just .557 since last season -- eighth worst among hitters with at least 282 total PA's-- second Percentile. Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of just .575 (730 PAs) since last season -- 11th best among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (10/63) against Nestor Cortes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 12% (4/34) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (7/41) against Martin Perez on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 12th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (89/148) against Martin Perez when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 40% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 33-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	NYY	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	TEX -164
Apr 29th	NYY	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	TEX -235
Apr 28th	NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	NYY +150
Apr 26th	@CIN	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -110
Apr 25th	@CIN	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -130

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Max Scherzer
P
Scherzer is out with hamstring
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	100	4.2	7	7
RA. Abreu, P	41	1	1	6
LN.Ramirez, P	30	2.1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	0	0
2O.Peraza, 3B	1-4	0	1
3A.Rizzo, DH	0-4	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, 1B	0-2	0	0
4W.Calhoun, RF	0-1	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	1-4	1	0
6O.Cabrera, RF	0-3	0	0
6O.Cabrera, 1B	0-3	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	2-4	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	0	1
9A. Hicks, LF	2-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	70	6	2	1
RI. Kennedy, P	12	1	1	0
LC.Ragans, P	12	1	2	0
RY.Rodriguez, P	33	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
2R.Grossman, DH	1-3	3	0	1
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-2	3	1	2
3B. Miller, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3B. Miller, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	2-3	3	1	1
4J.Smith, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Jung, 3B	2-4	3	1	5
6J.Heim, C	3-4	2	1	3
6S. León, C	1-1	0	0	1
7E.Duran, SS	1-5	0	0	2
8B.Thompson, LF	0-5	0	0	0
8B.Thompson, RF	0-5	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-3	0	0	0