Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Twins at Royals

11:15 pm • FOX

Minnesota Twins

1-0

2 - 4

Kansas City Royals

2-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Marsh			4.54	9-9
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 1-0	-1.5+124	o8-113	-135
Royals 2-0	+1.5-149	u8-106	+114

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

September 07, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+105

KC +125

0.63u

Bet to +119

Featured Insight
Twins hitters are slugging .422 versus relief pitchers since last season -- second best in MLB. Royals RPs have allowed a SLG of .422 since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed just 1.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (14 games). The Twins have scored just 1.6 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB (13 games).

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Billy Ward's MLB NRFI Picks for Saturday
Billy Ward•
Sep 7, 2024 UTC

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The Royals are just 13-22 (.371) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.

60% of Salvador Perez fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 79% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

MJ Melendez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Alec Marsh has walked 4 of 103 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 9% -- 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% (51/186) against Alec Marsh with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 36% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 7th	MIN	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	KC -142
Sep 4th	CLE	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -131
Sep 3rd	CLE	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +114
Sep 2nd	CLE	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE -112
Sep 1st	@HOU	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +135

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	83	7	7	0
RJ.Duran, P	17	0.1	1	2
RG.Jax, P	8	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	2-3	1	0
1W.Castro, PH	0-1	0	0
1W.Castro, 2B	0-1	0	0
2T.Larnach, LF	0-3	0	0
2M.Helman, PR	0-0	0	0
2M.Helman, LF	0-0	0	0
3J.Miranda, DH	1-4	1	1
4M.Wallner, RF	1-3	0	1
5R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	0	0
6B.Lee, SS	0-4	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0
8K.Farmer, 1B	1-1	0	0
9D.Keirsey, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Marsh, P	84	5	5	2
LD.Lynch, P	33	3	4	0
RL.Erceg, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	1-4	1	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	1
3S.Perez, 1B	0-3	0	0
4M.Melendez, LF	1-4	0	1
5P.DeJong, 3B	0-3	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	0-3	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	1-3	1	0
8R.Grossman, DH	1-2	0	0
8D.Blanco, PR	0-0	1	0
8D.Blanco, DH	0-0	1	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-3	1	1