Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 7, 2024

Twins at Royals

11:15 pm • FOX

Minnesota Twins

19-20

2 - 4

Kansas City Royals

24-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Marsh			4.54	9-9
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 19-20	-1.5+124	o8-113	-135
Royals 24-16	+1.5-149	u8-106	+114

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

September 07, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+105

KC +125

0.63u

Bet to +119

Featured Insight
Twins hitters are slugging .422 versus relief pitchers since last season -- second best in MLB. Royals RPs have allowed a SLG of .422 since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed just 1.9 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (14 games). The Twins have scored just 1.6 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB (13 games).

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Billy Ward's MLB NRFI Picks for Saturday
Billy Ward•
Sep 7, 2024 UTC

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The Royals are just 13-22 (.371) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.

60% of Salvador Perez fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 79% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

MJ Melendez has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Alec Marsh has walked 4 of 103 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 9% -- 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% (51/186) against Alec Marsh with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 36% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 9-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Royals' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	22-18	13-8	9-10	10-7	11-11
Twins	22-17	14-5	8-12	15-11	7-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	13-26-1	7-14	6-12-1	6-11	7-14-1
Twins	13-23-3	6-12-1	7-11-2	9-15-2	4-8-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	24-16	16-5	8-11	13-4	10-12
Twins	19-20	13-6	6-14	14-12	5-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 7th	MIN	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	KC -142
Sep 4th	CLE	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -131
Sep 3rd	CLE	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +114
Sep 2nd	CLE	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE -112
Sep 1st	@HOU	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +135

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	83	7	7	0
RJ.Duran, P	17	0.1	1	2
RG.Jax, P	8	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	2-3	1	0
1W.Castro, PH	0-1	0	0
1W.Castro, 2B	0-1	0	0
2T.Larnach, LF	0-3	0	0
2M.Helman, PR	0-0	0	0
2M.Helman, LF	0-0	0	0
3J.Miranda, DH	1-4	1	1
4M.Wallner, RF	1-3	0	1
5R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	0	0
6B.Lee, SS	0-4	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0
8K.Farmer, 1B	1-1	0	0
9D.Keirsey, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Marsh, P	84	5	5	2
LD.Lynch, P	33	3	4	0
RL.Erceg, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Pham, RF	1-4	1	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	1
3S.Perez, 1B	0-3	0	0
4M.Melendez, LF	1-4	0	1
5P.DeJong, 3B	0-3	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	0-3	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	1-3	1	0
8R.Grossman, DH	1-2	0	0
8D.Blanco, PR	0-0	1	0
8D.Blanco, DH	0-0	1	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-3	1	1