Tigers vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Royals hold a better overall record of 82-70 compared to Detroit's 79-73 and show strong performance at home, going 45-32 this season. Kansas City starter Alec Marsh has been solid lately, posting a 3.52 ERA in his last three games, including an impressive 5.1-inning outing on 9/13/24, where he struck out 11 and allowed just 1 earned run. This performance highlights his good form coming into this matchup, which should continue against a Detroit offense that ranks lower in several key categories. Kansas City’s offensive strength is another advantage, as they boast a higher team batting average (.249) than Detroit (.232). The Royals are more efficient at converting baserunners into runs, with a runs per game average of 4.84, compared to Detroit’s 4.29. The Royals also have a higher slugging percentage (.415 vs. .387), indicating better power, and a superior stolen base success rate of 81% versus Detroit's 76.8%, which adds an extra layer of offensive pressure. At home, Kansas City is batting an even better .266 against right-handed pitchers, and although Detroit’s starter Tarik Skubal is a lefty, the Royals have shown an ability to handle his pitching. In recent matchups this season, Skubal has struggled against Kansas City, allowing 5 earned runs in 6.1 innings on 8/2/24 and 4 earned runs in 5 innings on 5/22/24. Kansas City’s familiarity and past success against Skubal could again factor into the outcome, as their lineup has consistently found ways to score runs against him. On the pitching side, Kansas City’s starters hold a slight edge over Detroit, with a 3.54 ERA compared to Detroit’s 3.70, and their bullpen remains solid with a 3.85 ERA. Detroit’s offense will likely have trouble generating significant run production against a Kansas City staff that is better at stranding baserunners, with a left-on-base ratio of 1.67:1, compared to Detroit’s 1.57:1. Given the Tigers’ lower batting average, run production, and familiarity issues with Alec Marsh, Kansas City has the pitching advantage, especially with Marsh showing a solid trend of limiting opponents' scoring opportunities recently.

Bet to +125