Tigers vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2024

Tigers at Padres

10:40 pm • SDPA

Detroit Tigers

51-31

0 - 3

San Diego Padres

44-36

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5
T.Holton			2.19	7-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 51-31	+1.5	+1.5-125	o8-111	+170
Padres 44-36	u8	-1.5+105	u8-109	-205

Monday 10:40 p.m.

September 02, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

M.Machado o0.5 HR+450

0.25u

J.Musgrove o17.5 Outs-130

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Featured Insight
Padres have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season -- second lowest in MLB. The Tigers have scored in at least three different innings in just 40% of their games since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Tigers are 68-14 (.829) when they've had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Padres are 10-53 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

32% of Jake Cronenworth strikeouts were looking in the 2022 season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 44% of Jason Foley strikeouts were looking in the 2022 season -- tied for second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

68% of Zach McKinstry fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among hitters with at least 690 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 70% of Joe Musgrove fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Joe Musgrove when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts -- tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .210 -- 95th Percentile.

Mason Englert has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (74 Total Bases / 121 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .371 -- first Percentile.

Mason Englert has allowed an OPS of 1.092 (96 PA's) with runners in scoring position since last season -- highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .725 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% (113/324) against Joe Musgrove on fastballs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 21-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Padres' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	42-38	21-18	21-20	20-22	22-16
Tigers	45-37	25-16	20-21	30-22	15-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	32-45-3	15-23-1	17-22-2	20-21-1	12-24-2
Tigers	41-37-4	16-22-3	25-15-1	25-24-3	15-12-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	44-36	25-14	19-22	26-16	18-20
Tigers	51-31	28-13	23-18	37-15	14-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 1st	@TB	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	SD -121
Aug 31st	@TB	L 4-11	+1.5 L	O 8	TB +102
Aug 30th	@TB	W 13-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	SD +105
Aug 29th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -105
Aug 28th	@STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -125

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Matt Vierling
CF
Vierling is out with shoulder
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Holton, P	32	2	1	0
RB.Hanifee, P	28	1	2	0
RT.Madden, P	56	4	1	2
RJ.Foley, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	0-3	0	0	0
1A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1A.Ibanez, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2R.Greene, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2R.Greene, CF	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Vierling, RF	2-4	0	0	0
4K.Carpenter, DH	1-2	0	0	0
4J.Malloy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Malloy, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5C.Keith, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Jung, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Sweeney, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Musgrove, P	94	6	8
RJ.Adam, P	10	1	0
LT.Scott, P	22	1	2
RR.Suarez, P	8	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-4	1	2
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	0
3D.Solano, 1B	0-3	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	1
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-4	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	2-3	0	0
7D.Peralta, LF	0-3	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	0
9M.McCoy, SS	2-3	1	0