Tigers vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 15, 2023

Tigers at Mariners

2:10 am • MLB Network

Detroit Tigers

8-12

5 - 4

Seattle Mariners

10-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.34	14-9
E.Rodriguez			3.30	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 8-12	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mariners 10-18	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 2:10 a.m.

July 15, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

Under 7-105

1.05u

SEA -188

1.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-145

L.Castillo u7.5 Ks-120

Projecting closer to -170

E.Rodriguez o6.5 Ks+116

0.58u

Park upgrade, 30.2 K% L9, avg 24 BF - SEA 26.1 K% v LHP

Under 3.5 (F5)+100

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

$1.50

Under 7-105

1.05u

In addition to notes on SEA F5, most negative run environment in MLB - SEA just 100 wRC+ v LHP, DET 84 v RHP - Defenses combined 13 Runs Prevented - both pens upper half of MLB estimators L30 days

DET +164 (F5)

1.64u

ERod 3.60 SIERA/3.25 xERA, Castillo 3.65/3.73 - Bullpens have almost same est. L30 days, but same price for F5 adds a potential push.

DET +172

0.86u

Bet to +155

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The Tigers are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Javier Baez is batting just .233 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .204 (101-for-496) against Luis Castillo since last season -- tied for 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Spencer Torkelson is slugging just .359 since last season -- tied for fifth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Luis Castillo has allowed a SLG of just .327 vs right-handed batters since last season -- 13th best among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 33-48 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	69-93	36-45	33-48	44-69	24-22
Tigers	73-89	41-40	32-49	49-64	24-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	88-68-6	41-35-5	47-33-1	58-49-6	28-18
Tigers	83-72-7	41-35-5	42-37-2	58-49-6	24-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	90-72	51-30	39-42	66-47	22-24
Tigers	87-75	46-35	41-40	64-49	23-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	@HOU	W 3-1	-	-	-
Jul 8th	@HOU	L 2-3	-	-	-
Jul 8th	@HOU	W 10-1	-	-	-
Jul 7th	@HOU	W 5-1	-	-	-
Jul 6th	@SF	L 0-2	-	-	-

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LE.Rodriguez, P	88	5	7	2
RJ.Cisnero, P	6	1	1	0
LT.Holton, P	20	1.1	2	0
RJ.Foley, P	19	0.2	2	1
RA.Lange, P	29	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Z.McKinstry, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
1Z.McKinstry, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2R.Greene, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-3	1	1	2
4Z.Short, PH	0-0	0	0	0
4Z.Short, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Baez, SS	0-4	1	0	0
7N.Maton, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
8A.Baddoo, LF	1-3	1	1	1
9J.Rogers, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	91	5	5	3
LG.Speier, P	8	1	1	0
RT.Adcock, P	17	1	1	1
LT.Saucedo, P	15	0.2	1	0
RM.Festa, P	31	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	1	0	0
3T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Kelenic, LF	1-1	0	0	1
4T.Hernandez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
6T.Murphy, C	0-2	1	0	0
6C.Raleigh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A. Pollock, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Ford, PH	1-1	1	1	1
8J.Caballero, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8K. Wong, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Moore, LF	1-3	0	0	2
9D.Moore, 1B	1-3	0	0	2