Padres vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - July 21, 2024

Padres at Guardians

5:40 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-3

2 - 1

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.82	13-10
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5+154	o7.5-113	-110
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-183	u7.5-107	-110

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

July 21, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-112

M.Machado o0.5 HR+500

0.25u

CLE -108

$54.00

M.King o4.5 Ks-125

0.8u

CLE -115

B.Lively u16.5 Outs-123

1.22u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

CLE -104

0.52u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Padres this season -- fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians are batting .277 with RISP this season -- third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .282 (100-for-355) against Padres RPs with RISP this season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Guardians are 58-36 (.617) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Steven Kwan has an OPS of .911 this season -- 11th best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Enyel De Los Santos has allowed an OPS of .861 (158 PAs) this season -- eighth worst among qualified RPs-- third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 8% (4/48) against Ben Lively this month (3 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of .630 (92 Total Bases / 146 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .430 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	SD	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	SD -117
Jul 19th	SD	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -165
Jul 14th	@TB	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +110
Jul 13th	@TB	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -112
Jul 12th	@TB	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +120

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	85	7	6	1
RJ.Estrada, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	16	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-5	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-4	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, DH	2-4	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	0-3	1	0
7D.Peralta, RF	0-3	0	0
7B.Johnson, PR	0-0	0	0
7B.Johnson, RF	0-0	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-4	1	0
9K.Higashioka, C	2-4	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	97	5.1	2	2
RN.Sandlin, P	21	1.1	3	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	20	0.2	0	0
RC.Smith, P	18	0.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0
2A.Martinez, CF	1-3	1	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	1
5D.Schneemann, 3B	0-3	0	0
5D.Schneemann, SS	0-3	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-2	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-0	0	0
8T.Freeman, PR	0-0	0	0
8T.Freeman, 3B	0-0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0
9B.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-1	0	0