Royals vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 13, 2024

Royals at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

Kansas City Royals

3-3

0 - 5

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	+1.5-177	o9-102	+120
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+147	u9-116	-141

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 13, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

R.Devers o0.5 HR+390

0.98u

Under 9+100

V.Pasquantino o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

1.25u

J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases-120

1.67u

To the dark side I go

K.Crawford u18.5 Outs-135

BOS -121

#tailing @Zerillo

BOS -119

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -130

Featured Insight
The Royals are batting .324 with RISP over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .391 (9-for-23) against Red Sox RPs with RISP over the last week -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Red Sox are batting .249 versus relief pitchers since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .258 (908-for-3,513) against Royals RPs since last season -- third worst in MLB.

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MLB Player Props: 3 Picks for Saturday's Slate
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The Red Sox are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 60-18 (.769) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since last season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .693.

Jarren Duran is batting .287 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Seth Lugo has thrown a breaking pitch 42% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 87th Percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela has a swing rate of 48% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .246 (15-for-61) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (33/106) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season -- tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- sixth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 12th	KC	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 9	KC -105
Jul 11th	ATH	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 10	BOS -237
Jul 10th	ATH	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 10	ATH -198
Jul 9th	ATH	W 12-9	-1.5 W	O 10.5	BOS -205
Jul 7th	@NYY	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS +110

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	93	5	6	5
LK.Bubic, P	21	2	2	0
RN.Anderson, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Frazier, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5H.Renfroe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Garcia, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9G.Hampson, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P		96	7	4	0
RZ.Kelly, P		24	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-4	0	0	0
2D.Hamilton, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
5R.Refsnyder, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	1
7D.Smith, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
8R.McGuire, C	2-4	0	0	1
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-3	0	0	0