Rockies vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2023

Rockies at Padres

1:40 am • BSSD

Colorado Rockies

0-0

7 - 2

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
G.Marquez			4.95	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-120	o7-120	+180
Padres 4-3	-1.5+100	u7+100	-225

Friday 1:40 a.m.

March 31, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 8.5+100

Y.Daza o1.5 Total Bases+160

SD -1.5+100

J.Soto o0.5 HR+650

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Betting on 10 players to hit HR for 0.1U each.

Over 3.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

SD -210

Keeping units low here because it's the first time using my updated MLB moneyline model. Available at FanDuel. I've got the Padres at 71% to win versus 67.7% implied. It's not because of German Marquez on the other side but rather because of basically everything else on the Rockies' roster. The Rockies do benefit from facing a lefty, but their low fly-ball rate reduces the odds they can exploit Snell's biggest weaknesses. It's tough to lay -210 on a volatile pitcher, but this specific matchup increases my comfort with it.

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 27th	@SEA	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	SD -107
Mar 26th	SEA	W 5-5	-1.5 L	O 9	SEA -130
Mar 25th	@TEX	W 5-3	-	-	SD +115
Mar 24th	@LAA	W 3-0	-	-	SD +116
Mar 23rd	KC	W 6-3	-	-	-

Antonio Senzatela
P
Senzatela is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Brendan Rodgers
IF
Brendan Rodgers has been scratched Saturday.
Out
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Marquez, P	87	6	5	2
RD. Lamet, P	20	1	2	0
RJ.Lawrence, P	14	1	3	0
RJ.Bird, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y. Daza, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2K.Bryant, RF	3-5	1	0	1
3C.Blackmon, DH	3-5	1	0	0
4C. Cron, 1B	4-5	2	2	5
5E.Montero, 3B	2-5	1	1	1
5A.Trejo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6R.McMahon, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
7E.Diaz, C	1-4	0	0	0
8H. Castro, LF	1-5	1	0	0
9E.Tovar, SS	1-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	93	4.1	9	3
RN.Crismatt, P	32	1.2	2	2
RD. Tapia, P	42	2	4	2
RS.Wilson, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Grisham, CF	1-4	1	0
2J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-3	0	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	3-4	1	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	0	0
6M.Carpenter, DH	0-3	0	1
7A.Nola, C	1-3	0	0
8H.Kim, 2B	1-4	0	0
9D.Dahl, RF	0-4	0	0