Reds vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 8, 2023

Reds at Phillies

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH+

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

2 - 3

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			5.58	2-2
N.Lodolo			6.29	2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Phillies 1-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 08, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 8-114

Under 8-105

0.5u

Bet to -111

CIN +120

Over 8-105

$50.00

Both teams in their better split and both bullpens used a fair amount today. Also Lodolo is dope but I’m slightly lower than the market on him

Our Staff's Best MLB Bets for Saturday's Afternoon Slate
Action Network Staff•
Apr 8, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
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The Reds are just 55-5 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Reds are just 40-18 (.690) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Kyle Schwarber batted just .149 on breaking pitches from LHP last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Lodolo threw his curveball 30% of the time last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB-- 92nd Percentile.

37% of Wil Myers strikeouts were looking last season -- 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 35% of Bailey Falter strikeouts were looking last season -- tied for seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 54% (13/24) against Nick Lodolo in non-two strike counts this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 58% (352/606) in two strike counts since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	81-81	41-40	40-41	62-67	19-14
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	70-81-11	41-37-3	29-44-8	57-61-11	13-20
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	96-66	55-26	41-40	80-49	16-17
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	CIN	W 5-2	-	-	-
Apr 5th	@NYY	L 2-4	-	-	-
Apr 4th	@NYY	W 4-1	-	-	-
Apr 3rd	@NYY	L 1-8	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	@TEX	L 1-2	-	-	-

Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out

Keegan Thompson
RP
Thompson is out with inactive
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	106	7	12	0
RA.Diaz, P	32	1	3	3
RI.Gibaut, P	8	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Steer, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
3W. Myers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3W. Myers, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, DH	2-4	0	0	0
5K.Newman, SS	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Friedl, LF	2-4	0	0	0
6T.Friedl, CF	2-4	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, RF	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Vosler, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Vosler, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Barrero, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Fraley, PH	0-1	0	0	1
8J.Fraley, LF	0-1	0	0	1
9C.Casali, C	1-3	0	0	0
9W.Benson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	86	5	2	1
RA. Bellatti, P	14	1	1	0
RC.Brogdon, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	7	1	0	0
LA. Vasquez, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	0-3	0	0
2K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0
3J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-2	1	0
5A.Bohm, 1B	1-4	1	0
6J. Harrison, LF	0-3	0	0
6B.Marsh, PH	1-1	1	1
7E.Sosa, 3B	1-3	0	1
8B.Stott, 2B	2-4	0	1
9C.Pache, CF	1-2	0	0