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Reds vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2025

Reds at Mets

11:10 pm • FDSOH

Cincinnati Reds

51-47
8
8 - 4

New York Mets

55-43
4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Sean Manaea logoS.ManaeaNew York Mets logo2.460-1
Nick Lodolo logoN.LodoloCincinnati Reds logo3.337-6

Reds at Mets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
51-47
+1.5
+1.5-167
o7.5-105
+132
Mets
55-43
u8
-1.5+135
u7.5-115
-157
location pinFriday 11:10 p.m.
July 18, 2025
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Reds vs. Mets Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 169-146-2 (-3.1u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-154
1.54u
Wind-In First 5 Unders Overall: 312-198-32,61% (ROI:17%) Season:24-4-0,86% (ROI:63%)
Under 7.5-105
1.05u
Wind Wins Unders (Weather) Overall: 1070-729-82,59% (ROI:14%) Season:39-31-3,56% (ROI:6%)
Kevin Thomas
Kevin Thomas
Last 30d: 12-11-0 (+6.0u)
S.Manaea o5.5 Ks+112
1.12u
Andrew A
Andrew A
Last 30d: 8-9-0 (-3.5u)
NYM -155
2.02u
Charlie Wright
Charlie Wright
Last 30d: 6-5-0 (-1.0u)
S.Manaea o5.5 Ks+115
0.58u
Adding a half unit here as well. Workload is a bit of a question but the skills are there.
Under 4.5 (F5)-145
1.45u
Manaea made an arm-slot change midway through last season in an attempt to emulate Chris Sale. He posted a 3.18 ERA with a 26% K% over the final 3 months of the season. Lodolo has taken a step back in the strikeout department this season in what seems to be a conscious effort to pound the zone. He's posted a career-high 65.3% Str% and an elite 5% BB%. The adjustment has trimmed Lodolo's WHIP to a career-low 1.11. He's allowed 3 ERs or less in 16 of 19 starts. Both of these offenses have struggled against LHP. The Mets are 23rd in wRC+ and 25th in OPS and wOBA vs. LHP since the start of May. The Reds are 24th, 23rd, and 23rd in those metrics, respectively.
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 4-10-1 (+2.9u)
Connor Joe Under 0.5 Hitter Ks+180
1u
Payoff Pitch: https://myaction.app/SpYDPO6D6Ub
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 84-65-2 (+28.3u)
P.Alonso o1.5 Total Bases+136
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 158-139-9 (+16.0u)
Under 8-106
0.53u
Bet to -115
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 169-146-2 (-3.1u)
NYM -164
1.64u
Post-Break Power Picks - Big Favs Overall: 61-12-0,84% (ROI:35%)

Reds vs. Mets Previews & Analysis

  • Reds vs. Mets: Hard to Fade Home Starter article feature image

    Reds vs. Mets: Hard to Fade Home Starter

    Tony Sartori•
    Jul 18, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Reds vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Reds

Public

Home Logo

Mets

24%

Bets%

76%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Mets are 22-28 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Mets' 48 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets		47-5125-2322-2831-3816-13
Reds		50-4726-2324-2419-2331-23

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mets		44-53-123-24-121-2935-33-19-20
Reds		40-53-417-29-323-24-111-28-328-25-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets		55-4333-1522-2844-2511-18
Reds		51-4727-2223-2522-2028-26

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 13th@KCL 2-3-1.5 LU 8.5KC -106
Jul 12th@KCW 3-1-1.5 WU 9NYM -131
Jul 12th@KCW 8-3-1.5 WO 9.5NYM -134
Jul 10th@BALL 3-7-1.5 LU 10.5BAL -131
Jul 10th@BALL 1-3-1.5 LU 9.5BAL -144

Mets vs. Reds Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Starling Marte
    LF

    Marte is out with knee

    Out

  • Jesse Winker
    LF

    Winker is out with back

    Out

  • Griffin Canning
    SP

    Canning is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jose Siri
    CF

    Siri is out with leg

    Out

  • Nick Madrigal
    3B

    Madrigal is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tylor Megill
    SP

    Megill is out with elbow

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    SP

    Scott is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Reds Injuries

  • Noelvi Marte
    3B

    Marte is day-to-day with side

    Day-to-Day

  • Brandon Williamson
    SP

    Williamson is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Graham Ashcraft
    RP

    Ashcraft is out with groin

    Out

  • Julian Aguiar
    SP

    Aguiar is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Rhett Lowder
    SP

    Lowder is out with elbow

    Out

  • Carson Spiers
    RP

    Spiers is out with shoulder

    Out

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Reds vs. Mets Box Score
Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Nick Lodolo logoLN.Lodolo, P97772
Graham Ashcraft logoRG.Ashcraft, P10110
Sam Moll logoLS.Moll, P220.210
Emilio Pagan logoRE.Pagan, P120.100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
TJ Friedl logo1T.Friedl, CF0-2200
Matt McLain logo2M.McLain, 2B2-4212
Elly De La Cruz logo3E.De La Cruz, SS1-4001
Austin Hays logo4A.Hays, LF2-3223
Spencer Steer logo5S.Steer, 1B0-4100
Noelvi Marte logo6N.Marte, 3B1-5000
Tyler Stephenson logo7T.Stephenson, DH2-4112
Jose Trevino logo8J.Trevino, C0-4000
Santiago Espinal logo9S.Espinal, RF0-1000
Jake Fraley logo9J.Fraley, PH0-1000
Jake Fraley logo9J.Fraley, RF0-1000
Connor Joe logo9C.Joe, PH0-3000
Connor Joe logo9C.Joe, RF0-3000
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Sean Manaea logoLS.Manaea, P69461
Alex Carrillo logoRA.Carrillo, P361.125
Brandon Waddell logoLB.Waddell, P763.222
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Francisco Lindor logo1F.Lindor, SS0-5000
Mark Vientos logo2M.Vientos, DH0-4000
Juan Soto logo3J.Soto, RF1-4111
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B0-4000
Brandon Nimmo logo5B.Nimmo, LF2-3200
Ronny Mauricio logo6R.Mauricio, 3B0-4100
Jeff McNeil logo7J.McNeil, 2B1-3001
Tyrone Taylor logo8T.Taylor, CF0-3000
Brett Baty logo8B.Baty, PH1-1000
Luis Torrens logo9L.Torrens, C2-4001

Reds vs. Mets Odds Comparison

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Reds at Mets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Reds
51-47
o3.5+101
u3.5-130
Mets
55-43
o3.5-141
u3.5+110