Reds vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2025

Reds at Mets

11:10 pm • FDSOH

Cincinnati Reds

29-28

8 - 4

New York Mets

25-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			5.64	2-4
N.Lodolo			3.33	9-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 29-28	+1.5	+1.5-167	o7.5-105	+132
Mets 25-33	u8	-1.5+135	u7.5-115	-157

Friday 11:10 p.m.

July 18, 2025

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

S.Manaea o5.5 Ks+112

1.12u

NYM -155

2.02u

S.Manaea o5.5 Ks+115

0.58u

Adding a half unit here as well. Workload is a bit of a question but the skills are there.

Under 4.5 (F5)-145

1.45u

Manaea made an arm-slot change midway through last season in an attempt to emulate Chris Sale. He posted a 3.18 ERA with a 26% K% over the final 3 months of the season. Lodolo has taken a step back in the strikeout department this season in what seems to be a conscious effort to pound the zone. He's posted a career-high 65.3% Str% and an elite 5% BB%. The adjustment has trimmed Lodolo's WHIP to a career-low 1.11. He's allowed 3 ERs or less in 16 of 19 starts. Both of these offenses have struggled against LHP. The Mets are 23rd in wRC+ and 25th in OPS and wOBA vs. LHP since the start of May. The Reds are 24th, 23rd, and 23rd in those metrics, respectively.

Connor Joe Under 0.5 Hitter Ks+180

Payoff Pitch: https://myaction.app/SpYDPO6D6Ub

Under 4 (F5)+100

0.5u

P.Alonso o1.5 Total Bases+136

Under 8-106

0.53u

Bet to -115

Reds vs. Mets: Hard to Fade Home Starter
Tony Sartori•
Jul 18, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 11-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Mets' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	22-36	11-18	11-18	16-25	6-11
Reds	32-25	14-14	18-11	11-7	21-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	24-30-4	15-10-4	9-20	19-19-3	5-11-1
Reds	35-21-1	19-9	16-12-1	12-6	23-15-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	25-33	14-15	11-18	20-21	5-12
Reds	29-28	14-14	15-14	11-7	18-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 13th	@KC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	KC -106
Jul 12th	@KC	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -131
Jul 12th	@KC	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -134
Jul 10th	@BAL	L 3-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	BAL -131
Jul 10th	@BAL	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -144

Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	97	7	7	2
RG.Ashcraft, P	10	1	1	0
LS.Moll, P	22	0.2	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	12	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-2	2	0	0
2M.McLain, 2B	2-4	2	1	2
3E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	1
4A.Hays, LF	2-3	2	2	3
5S.Steer, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
6N.Marte, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
7T.Stephenson, DH	2-4	1	1	2
8J.Trevino, C	0-4	0	0	0
9S.Espinal, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Fraley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Fraley, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Joe, PH	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Joe, RF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	69	4	6	1
RA.Carrillo, P	36	1.1	2	5
LB.Waddell, P	76	3.2	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Soto, RF	1-4	1	1	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Nimmo, LF	2-3	2	0	0
6R.Mauricio, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8T.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	2-4	0	0	1