Red Sox vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 9, 2025

Red Sox at Royals

11:40 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

20-19

1 - 2

Kansas City Royals

23-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Lorenzen			4.23	3-3
H.Dobbins			3.78	2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 20-19	-1.5	-1.5+145	o9-102	-110
Royals 23-16	u9	+1.5-175	u9-118	-110

Friday 11:40 p.m.

May 09, 2025

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

K.Campbell o0.5 HR+870

0.1u

BOS -110

Royals 15-2 last 17? Time for a reset. Dobbins has been sharp: 2-0, 2.45 ERA in night starts, 2.38 GB/FB ratio keeps ball in park. Lorenzen leaking HRs – 6 in last 16.2 IP. Red Sox offense crushes righties: .250 AVG, 4.90 R/9, 1.0 HR/G. This matchup favors Boston across the board. Boston leads in OBP (.328 vs .303), BA (.252 vs .242), and R/9 (4.95 vs 3.65). Royals offense worse vs RHP (.243 AVG, 0.6 HR/G). Sox pen holds leads – 3.19 ERA, 1.05 WHIP last 3. Dobbins limits damage, Sox grind out runs and punish mistakes. Lorenzen’s 5.06 ERA in day games suggests volatility. Red Sox have tools to snap the streak.

Over 8.5-120

1.2u

KC o4.5+115

R.Devers o0.5 HR+500

0.5u

K.Isbel o0.5 HR+1900

0.1u

Red Sox vs Royals: Bet Friday's Over/Under
William Boor•
May 9, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 9-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Royals' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	21-18	12-8	9-10	10-7	11-11
Red Sox	19-20	9-11	10-9	15-15	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	13-25-1	7-13	6-12-1	6-11	7-14-1
Red Sox	18-20-1	8-11-1	10-9	13-16-1	5-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	23-16	15-5	8-11	13-4	10-12
Red Sox	20-19	11-9	9-10	17-13	3-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	CWS	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -250
May 7th	CWS	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -220
May 6th	CWS	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	KC -256
May 5th	CWS	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	KC -227
May 4th	@BAL	W 11-6	+1.5 W	O 9.5	KC +120

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RH.Dobbins, P	81	6	6
RG.Weissert, P	19	1	0
LJ.Wilson, P	12	0.2	2
RJ.Slaten, P	15	1.1	0
LA.Chapman, P	16	1	2
RG.Whitlock, P	16	0.2	2
LB.Bernardino, P	8	0.1	0
LS.Newcomb, P	6	0.1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-5	0	0
2R.Devers, DH	1-5	0	1
3A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0
4K.Campbell, 2B	1-5	0	0
4D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	0	0
4D.Hamilton, 2B	0-0	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	0-5	0	0
6T.Story, SS	0-5	0	0
7A.Toro, 1B	1-5	0	0
8C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.Lorenzen, P	90	7	7
RJ.Schreiber, P	12	0.2	1
RL.Erceg, P	16	1.1	0
RC.Estevez, P	16	1	1
LD.Lynch, P	14	1.1	0
RS.Cruz, P	8	0.2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, LF	1-4	0	0
1D.Waters, PR	0-1	1	0
1D.Waters, RF	0-1	1	0
1D.Waters, LF	0-1	1	0
1D.Waters, CF	0-1	1	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-3	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, DH	1-5	0	1
4S.Perez, 1B	1-5	0	0
5M.Garcia, 3B	0-4	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	2-4	1	0
7M.Canha, RF	0-3	0	0
7M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0
7C.Biggio, PH	0-1	0	0
7C.Biggio, RF	0-1	0	0
7C.Biggio, LF	0-1	0	0
8F.Fermin, C	1-5	0	1
9K.Isbel, CF	2-3	0	0
9H.Renfroe, PH	0-1	0	0
9H.Renfroe, RF	0-1	0	0