Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 18, 2024

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Since the beginning of the 2024 campaign, Boston starting pitcher Brayan Bello has had a tough fight, coming in with a 4.97 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over the course of 22 starts. Even further clarification of his issues is seen in underlying figures, as he sits in the 20th percentile or worse regarding such metrics as xERA, xBA, and hard-hit rate. Not only that, Bello has had a 4.35 ERA through four career meetings in pitching matchups against Baltimore. The Red Sox bullpen pegged behind Bello hasn't been much relief, ranking in the bottom half of baseball in both ERA and FIP, now. As continued from that point, Boston might have pitching trouble, so it seems more unlikely that Baltimore will be able to cash offensively. On the other side of the coin, the Boston offense should have no problem with the run support. The Red Sox feature in most of the league's leading offensive categories, including runs scored per game, hits per game, batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, home runs, and stolen bases. They will oppose Baltimore's rookie southpaw in Cade Povich in what has all but been an inauspicious beginning to the hurler's professional life. In his first eight starts, Povich comes armed with an ugly 6.27 ERA and 1.69 WHIP with bad underlying analytics as he resides in the 36th percentile or worse in xERA, K% W% and Barrel%. In fact, the Baltimore bullpen, like the Boston bullpen, is also in the bottom half of the league concerning ERA, so both of these lineups actually figure to score their fair share of runs in this one. Baltimore's offense is kind of alike in the aspect that it ranks the top six of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, batting average, slugging percentage, OPS, and home runs. With bullpens that have been made a mess of, not to mention the respective firepowers on these lineups, it presents a game set up for a ton of runs. The forecast also includes winds blowing out to left-center, which only further helps to make the case for the hitters.

The Red Sox could cover this total themselves facing Cole Povich.

Flat to -115