Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2024

Red Sox at Guardians

5:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

10-7

4 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

7-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5
C.Anderson			4.85	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 10-7	+1.5-198	o7.5-103	+110
Guardians 7-12	-1.5+164	u7.5-118	-130

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

April 25, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-115

BOS +115 (F5)

1.5u

W.Abreu o1.5 Total Bases+174

BOS +115

Under 7.5-115

0.58u

BOS +121

0.5u

Under 7.5-115

1.15u

Under 7.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -119 or 7 (+100)

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 4.2 runs per game on the road since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (95 games). The Guardians have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (91 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .186 (59-for-317) against Guardians RPs this season -- second best in MLB. The Red Sox are batting just .200 versus relief pitchers this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Bobby Dalbec has an OPS of just .206 this season -- third worst among hitters with at least 34 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Keegan Thompson has allowed an OPS of just .163 (25 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is batting .277 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 520 total PA's-- 90th Percentile. Pierce Johnson has thrown a breaking pitch 66% of the time since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Chase Anderson has walked 1 of 50 batters (2%) this season -- tied for 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

Chase Anderson has allowed an OBP of just .062 (16 PA's) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 -- 100th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 11 of 53 batters (21%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	BOS	L 0-8	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -130
Apr 23rd	BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE -125
Apr 21st	ATH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -170
Apr 20th	ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -191
Apr 19th	ATH	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 8	CLE -159

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Anderson, P	53	1.2	0	5
LB.Bernardino, P	17	1.1	0	0
LC.Booser, P	25	2	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	13	1	0	0
RC.Martin, P	18	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	1
2R.Devers, DH	3-5	1	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	2-5	1	1
4W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	1
5P.Reyes, 3B	0-1	0	0
5M.Yoshida, PH	0-1	0	0
5C.Wong, 1B	0-1	0	0
6B.Dalbec, 1B	1-2	0	0
6E.Valdez, PH	0-2	0	0
6E.Valdez, 2B	0-2	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-3	1	0
7D.Hamilton, SS	1-3	1	0
8R.McGuire, C	2-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	1
9C.Rafaela, 3B	0-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	75	4	7	2
LT.Herrin, P	10	0.1	0	0
RN.Sandlin, P	21	1	1	2
RH.Gaddis, P	20	0.2	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	13	1	1	0
RC.Smith, P	13	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Freeman, CF	1-2	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	3-4	2	1	4
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Fry, C	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	2-4	1	1	1
8G.Arias, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	0