Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2024

Red Sox at Guardians

5:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

1-2

4 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5
C.Anderson			4.85	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	+1.5-198	o7.5-103	+110
Guardians 1-2	-1.5+164	u7.5-118	-130

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

April 25, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-115

BOS +115 (F5)

1.5u

W.Abreu o1.5 Total Bases+174

BOS +115

Under 7.5-115

0.58u

BOS +121

0.5u

Under 7.5-110

1.1u

Under 7.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -119 or 7 (+100)

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 4.2 runs per game on the road since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (95 games). The Guardians have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (91 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .186 (59-for-317) against Guardians RPs this season -- second best in MLB. The Red Sox are batting just .200 versus relief pitchers this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Bobby Dalbec has an OPS of just .206 this season -- third worst among hitters with at least 34 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Keegan Thompson has allowed an OPS of just .163 (25 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is batting .277 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 520 total PA's-- 90th Percentile. Pierce Johnson has thrown a breaking pitch 66% of the time since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Chase Anderson has walked 1 of 50 batters (2%) this season -- tied for 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

Chase Anderson has allowed an OBP of just .062 (16 PA's) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season -- best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 -- 100th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 11 of 53 batters (21%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	BOS	L 0-8	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -130
Apr 23rd	BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE -125
Apr 21st	ATH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -170
Apr 20th	ATH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -191
Apr 19th	ATH	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 8	CLE -159

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Anderson, P	53	1.2	0	5
LB.Bernardino, P	17	1.1	0	0
LC.Booser, P	25	2	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	13	1	0	0
RC.Martin, P	18	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	1
2R.Devers, DH	3-5	1	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	2-5	1	1
4W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	1
5P.Reyes, 3B	0-1	0	0
5M.Yoshida, PH	0-1	0	0
5C.Wong, 1B	0-1	0	0
6B.Dalbec, 1B	1-2	0	0
6E.Valdez, PH	0-2	0	0
6E.Valdez, 2B	0-2	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-3	1	0
7D.Hamilton, SS	1-3	1	0
8R.McGuire, C	2-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	1
9C.Rafaela, 3B	0-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	75	4	7	2
LT.Herrin, P	10	0.1	0	0
RN.Sandlin, P	21	1	1	2
RH.Gaddis, P	20	0.2	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	13	1	1	0
RC.Smith, P	13	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Freeman, CF	1-2	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	3-4	2	1	4
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Fry, C	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	2-4	1	1	1
8G.Arias, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	0