Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 27, 2023

Red Sox at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSAZ

Boston Red Sox

24-33

7 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

31-26

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			5.72	3-9
C.Sale			4.30	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 24-33	N/A	N/A	N/A
Diamondbacks 31-26	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

May 27, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI o3.5-115

0.25u

Fade Chris Sale 3-2 (+.91 Units)

Over 8-120

Pitchers congregate estimators around 4, while both pens have estimators in the top half of the league over the last 30 days, but these are two good offenses v LHP (LAA 120 wRC+, BOS 115) in a hitter friendly park with both defenses owning negative Runs Prevented marks.

Under 9-120

C.Sale o5.5 Ks-145

0.4u

Sale is blowing by this number in 3 straight starts with 10, 9, and 8. Many have never seen Sale before either which I think benefits the pitcher.

Over 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

ARI +130

Sale has estimators about a run and a half better than his five ERA, while Pfaadt has been pretty bad through 4 starts, though PitchingBot is optimistic about his stuff - Offenses are comparable, though BOS 87 Rd wRC+ & 47 L7 days - ARI has large def (11 Runs Prevented) & pen (estimators more than 1/2 run better L30 days) edges

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The Diamondbacks are 10-6 (.625) at home this season -- tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 17-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Diamondbacks' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	34-23	17-11	17-12	14-11	19-12
Red Sox	23-34	9-19	14-15	14-22	8-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	28-26-3	12-15-1	16-11-2	10-14-1	17-12-2
Red Sox	26-29-2	9-17-2	17-12	16-18-2	10-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	31-26	18-10	13-16	17-8	13-18
Red Sox	24-33	9-19	15-14	16-20	7-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	@PHI	L 5-6	-	-	-
May 23rd	@PHI	W 4-3	-	-	-
May 22nd	@PHI	W 6-3	-	-	-
May 21st	@PIT	W 8-3	-	-	-
May 20th	@PIT	W 4-3	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	73	5	3	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	34	3	1	1
LB.Bernardino, P	24	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R. Tapia, CF	2-5	0	0	1
2A.Verdugo, RF	3-5	1	0	1
3J.Turner, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
4M.Yoshida, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	3-5	2	0	1
7E.Hernandez, SS	1-3	1	1	2
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	2-4	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	87	3.2	4	5
RL.Frias, P	51	2.1	5	1
RK.Ginkel, P	32	2	2	1
RJ.Ruiz, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0
2E.Rivera, 3B	2-4	1	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	0	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0
5E. Longoria, DH	0-2	0	0
5P.Smith, PH	0-2	0	0
5P.Smith, DH	0-2	0	0
6C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
7N.Ahmed, SS	0-2	0	0
7G.Perdomo, PH	0-1	0	0
7G.Perdomo, SS	0-1	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	0-2	0	0
8G.Moreno, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	2-3	1	0