Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 27, 2023

Red Sox at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSAZ

Boston Red Sox

13-14

7 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

15-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			5.72	3-9
C.Sale			4.30	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 13-14	N/A	N/A	N/A
Diamondbacks 15-13	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

May 27, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI o3.5-115

0.25u

Fade Chris Sale 3-2 (+.91 Units)

Over 8-120

Pitchers congregate estimators around 4, while both pens have estimators in the top half of the league over the last 30 days, but these are two good offenses v LHP (LAA 120 wRC+, BOS 115) in a hitter friendly park with both defenses owning negative Runs Prevented marks.

Under 9-120

C.Sale o5.5 Ks-145

0.4u

Sale is blowing by this number in 3 straight starts with 10, 9, and 8. Many have never seen Sale before either which I think benefits the pitcher.

Over 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

ARI +130

Sale has estimators about a run and a half better than his five ERA, while Pfaadt has been pretty bad through 4 starts, though PitchingBot is optimistic about his stuff - Offenses are comparable, though BOS 87 Rd wRC+ & 47 L7 days - ARI has large def (11 Runs Prevented) & pen (estimators more than 1/2 run better L30 days) edges

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The Diamondbacks are 10-6 (.625) at home this season -- tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 42-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 39 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-79	40-41	42-38	36-52	45-27
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	80-74-7	39-36-6	41-38-1	43-40-5	37-33-2
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	80-82	43-38	37-43	45-43	34-38
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	@PHI	L 5-6	-	-	-
May 23rd	@PHI	W 4-3	-	-	-
May 22nd	@PHI	W 6-3	-	-	-
May 21st	@PIT	W 8-3	-	-	-
May 20th	@PIT	W 4-3	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	73	5	3	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	34	3	1	1
LB.Bernardino, P	24	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R. Tapia, CF	2-5	0	0	1
2A.Verdugo, RF	3-5	1	0	1
3J.Turner, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
4M.Yoshida, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	3-5	2	0	1
7E.Hernandez, SS	1-3	1	1	2
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	2-4	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	87	3.2	4	5
RL.Frias, P	51	2.1	5	1
RK.Ginkel, P	32	2	2	1
RJ.Ruiz, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0
2E.Rivera, 3B	2-4	1	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	0	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0
5E. Longoria, DH	0-2	0	0
5P.Smith, PH	0-2	0	0
5P.Smith, DH	0-2	0	0
6C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
7N.Ahmed, SS	0-2	0	0
7G.Perdomo, PH	0-1	0	0
7G.Perdomo, SS	0-1	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	0-2	0	0
8G.Moreno, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	2-3	1	0