Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 25, 2024

Pirates at Reds

11:10 pm • BSOH

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

9 - 5

Cincinnati Reds

29-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-192	o8.5-120	+110
Reds 29-27	-1.5+160	u8.5+100	-130

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 25, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

B.Reynolds u1.5 Total Bases-150

$1.50

CIN -125

1.25u

H.Greene o7.5 Ks+115

PIT +118

1.18u

H.Greene o9.5 Ks+550

0.18u

H.Greene o8.5 Ks+280

0.36u

H.Greene o7.5 Ks+148

0.68u

H.Greene o6.5 Ks-132

M.Keller u6.5 Ks-145

0.69u

PIT +105

3.15u

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 3.2 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Pirates have scored just 2.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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MLB HR Bets: Freeman, Seager & More
Billy Ward•
Jun 25, 2024 UTC

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The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has an OPS of just .690 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .563 (667 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Yasmani Grandal has an OPS of just .598 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among hitters with at least 598 total PA's-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .563 (667 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (82/272) against Mitch Keller this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .270 (169-for-627) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 18-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Reds' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	32-24	14-13	18-11	11-7	21-17
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	35-20-1	19-8	16-12-1	12-6	23-14-1
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	29-27	14-13	15-14	11-7	18-20
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 24th	PIT	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 10	CIN -135
Jun 23rd	BOS	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -162
Jun 22nd	BOS	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS -101
Jun 21st	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN -105
Jun 19th	@PIT	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +112

Hunter Greene
P
Greene is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	104	5.2	6	3
RC.Mlodzinski, P	27	2.1	2	0
LJ.Fleming, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-5	2	1	2
3O.Cruz, SS	1-5	1	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	2	0	1
5E.Olivares, RF	1-5	0	0	2
5J.Suwinski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	3-4	1	0	1
7J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
8Y.Grandal, C	0-3	0	0	1
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	93	4	5	6
RB.Farmer, P	23	1	1	2
RY.Zulueta, P	51	3	4	1
LB.Suter, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-2	3	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0
3J.Candelario, DH	0-5	0	1
4S.Steer, 1B	2-5	1	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-4	0	0
5L.Jordan, PH	0-1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	1
7S.Espinal, 3B	1-4	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	0-4	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-4	0	0