Pirates vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024

Pirates at Guardians

11:10 pm • SportsNet PT
8 - 10
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ben Lively logoB.LivelyCleveland Guardians logo3.8213-10
Bailey Falter logoB.FalterPittsburgh Pirates logo4.438-9

Pirates at Guardians Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates
0-0
+1.5-155
o8.5-121
+130
Guardians
4-6
-1.5+130
u8.5+100
-155
location pinFriday 11:10 p.m.
August 30, 2024
Progressive FieldCleveland
Pirates vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
113d ago
Last 30d: 15-17-0 (+4.8u)
J.Noel o1.5 Total Bases+110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
113d ago
Last 30d: 37-45-3 (-22.7u)
PIT +1-115
2u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
113d ago
Last 30d: 92-74-4 (+14.5u)
CLE -1.5+135
1.35u
JB Bets
JB Bets
113d ago
Last 30d: 36-13-0 (+17.4u)
CLE -145
0.69u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
114d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
J.Noel o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.87u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
114d ago
Last 30d: 117-110-6 (-1.6u)
Under 9-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Both pitchers carry the type of profiles that indicate they can limit damage, especially against lineups that have not found much clarity. Falter has had a rather uneven season with a 4.25 ERA, although his road performance is marginally better. This road improvement suggests he should be able to hold Cleveland's bats at bay, considering the Guardians rank only 22nd in team batting average at .237 while also checking in average in runs per game at 4.54. The biggest challenge for Falter will be getting through the top of the Cleveland lineup, which showed some life during their recent series in Kansas City. On the other side, DO NOT count out Ben Lively, who has been a reliable arm for Cleveland at home. His ability to induce poopers and limit the big fly is big against a Buccos lineup that ranks 25th in OPS (.677) and 21st in runs per game (4.21). The power has flashed in for Pittsburgh, but inconsistency - particularly against right-handed pitching - is a serious concern. The Pirates hit just .231 as a team against righties, posting a .298 on-base percentage that suggests they may struggle to manufacture runs against Lively, who is effective at avoiding big innings. The Cleveland bullpen has been one of the most consistent in the league, holding a cumulative ERA of 2.45, among the best in the major leagues. Recent form also goes significantly towards a low-scoring game. Wednesday's offensive eruption for Pittsburgh was an outlier in what has otherwise been a barren stretch, with the club mustering only a .236 average and a .321 on-base percentage over their last ten games. On the other side, while Cleveland's been far more consistent, they don't exactly light up the scoreboard, with the Under having hit in 37 of their 62 games at home this season. As it is, the Guardians does tend to get into close, low-scoring affairs, and when considering both teams boast offenses that rank outside the top 10 in most categories, the environment is perfect to support a game that goes under the total.
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
114d ago
Last 30d: 45-38-4 (+1.9u)
O.Cruz o0.5 HR+350
0.25u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
114d ago
Last 30d: 139-148-8 (-10.3u)
PIT +145
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
114d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
Over 8.5-115
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
114d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 8.5-114
0.5u
Bet to -120 or 9 (-101)

PRO Insights

Pirates logo

Pirates

PIT Insights
  • Pirates logoThe Pirates have scored 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (13 games). The Guardians have allowed 3.3 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games).
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Guardians logo

Guardians

CLE Insights
  • Guardians logoGuardians RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Pirates right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP this season -- fourth highest in MLB.
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Pirates vs. Guardians Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pirates vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages

15%

Bets%

85%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
83-7842-3841-4048-5034-27
Pirates
88-7443-3845-3629-3459-39

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Guardians
67-83-1138-38-429-45-745-46-721-36-4
Pirates
77-81-440-38-337-43-131-30-246-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
92-6950-3042-3963-3528-33
Pirates
76-8639-4237-4435-2841-57

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 28thKCW 7-5-1.5 WO 8CLE -160
Aug 27thKCL 1-6-1.5 LU 9KC -165
Aug 26thKCL 4-9-1.5 LO 9KC -142
Aug 26thKCL 3-4+1.5 WU 8KC +110
Aug 25thTEXW 4-2-1.5 WU 8CLE -125

Guardians vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

  • Shane Bieber
    P

    Bieber is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Pirates Injuries

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes
    IF

    Hayes is out with back

    Out

  • Johan Oviedo
    P

    Oviedo is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Endy Rodriguez
    C

    Rodriguez is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Pirates vs. Guardians Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Bailey Falter logoLB.Falter, P59424
Carmen Mlodzinski logoRC.Mlodzinski, P26124
Domingo German logoRD.German, P54342
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS1-5200
Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, LF2-4100
Oneil Cruz logo3O.Cruz, CF2-5103
Andrew McCutchen logo4A.McCutchen, DH2-5213
Rowdy Tellez logo5R.Tellez, 1B2-3112
Connor Joe logo5C.Joe, PH0-2000
Connor Joe logo5C.Joe, 1B0-2000
Nick Gonzales logo6N.Gonzales, 2B1-5000
Billy McKinney logo7B.McKinney, RF0-3000
Bryan De La Cruz logo7B.De La Cruz, PH0-2000
Bryan De La Cruz logo7B.De La Cruz, RF0-2000
Yasmani Grandal logo8Y.Grandal, C1-3100
Michael A. Taylor logo8M.Taylor, PR0-0000
Henry Davis logo8H.Davis, C0-0000
Jared Triolo logo9J.Triolo, 3B1-3000
Guardians Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Ben Lively logoRB.Lively, P944.136
Pedro Avila logoRP.Avila, P80.210
Cade Smith logoRC.Smith, P20111
Tim Herrin logoLT.Herrin, P6100
Hunter Gaddis logoRH.Gaddis, P18100
Emmanuel Clase logoRE.Clase, P13111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF2-4101
Lane Thomas logo2L.Thomas, CF1-4200
Lane Thomas logo2L.Thomas, RF1-4200
Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B2-4200
David Fry logo4D.Fry, DH2-5001
Josh Naylor logo5J.Naylor, 1B3-5104
Tyler Freeman logo5T.Freeman, PR0-0000
Tyler Freeman logo5T.Freeman, CF0-0000
Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, RF1-5112
Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, 1B1-5112
Andres Gimenez logo7A.Gimenez, 2B3-5211
Brayan Rocchio logo8B.Rocchio, SS1-4100
Austin Hedges logo9A.Hedges, C1-3001

Pirates vs. Guardians Odds Comparison

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Pirates at Guardians Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Pirates
0-0
o3.5-135
u3.5+105
Guardians
4-6
o4.5-110
u4.5-120