Phillies vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Phillies at Brewers

11:40 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

1 - 2

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
A.Nola			3.57	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+164	o7.5-105	-108
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-196	u7.5-115	-112

Wednesday 11:40 p.m.

September 18, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Under 7.5-109

0.92u

#ProSystem . wind blowing in under streak Overall: 554-387-39,59% (ROI:13%) Season:30-27-2,53% (ROI:1%) . under for winning teams including wind direction and temps Overall: 554-323-48,63% (ROI:21%) Season:6-5-0,55% (ROI:4%) . Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 412-280-28,60% (ROI:16%) Season:20-14-1,59% (ROI:14%)

MIL -0.5 (F5)+120

#ProSystem ... F5 good home favs off a loss Overall: 298-223-6,57% (ROI:11%) Season:40-15-5,73% (ROI:21%)

MIL PK-103

MIL -115

W.Contreras o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

MIL -108

2.78u

Featured Insight
Phillies have won 60% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- best in MLB. Brewers have won just 42% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for third best in MLB. Phillies have won just 40% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Picks, Odds -- 9/18
Justin Perri•
Sep 18, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 18, 2024 UTC

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The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .144 (18-for-125) against Aaron Nola's elevated fastball this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 -- 93rd Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (394/1,111) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +120
Sep 16th	PHI	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIL -109
Sep 15th	@ARI	L 10-11	+1.5 W	O 8.5	ARI +140
Sep 15th	@ARI	W 15-8	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +135
Sep 14th	@ARI	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIL +110

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	97	7	9	1
RO.Kerkering, P	16	1	2	0
RC.Estevez, P	14	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
6B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7B.Marsh, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	91	5	9	1
RJ.Ross, P	24	0.2	1	0
LJ.Koenig, P	12	1.1	2	0
RT.Megill, P	13	1	1	0
RD.Williams, P	19	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Chourio, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0	0
4G.Mitchell, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Adames, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7R.Hoskins, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
8S.Frelick, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	0	0	0