Orioles vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Orioles at Mariners

8:10 pm • MASN2

Baltimore Orioles

35-41

3 - 7

Seattle Mariners

39-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 35-41	-1.5+120	o7-105	-154
Mariners 39-37	+1.5-142	u7-115	+130

Thursday 8:10 p.m.

July 04, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA +425 (Live)

4.25u

BAL -145

C.Burnes o18.5 Outs+155

BAL -142

R.O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases+106

SEA +130

0.65u

Bet to +118

C.Burnes u7.5 Ks-120

0.83u

SEA +125

1.25u

B.Miller o4.5 Ks-136

0.74u

C.Burnes u7.5 Ks-115

1.04u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

0.74u

Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs left-handed batters since last season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Mariners left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Orioles are 46-13 (.780) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Mariners are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- tied for fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .158 (9-for-57) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 -- 94th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .158 (9 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (95/133) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (262/395) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 15-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Mariners' 38 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	29-47	14-24	15-23	27-43	2-4
Orioles	36-40	22-19	14-21	16-20	20-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	36-37-3	18-19-1	18-18-2	34-33-3	2-4
Orioles	43-30-3	22-17-2	21-13-1	19-15-2	24-15-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	39-37	21-17	18-20	37-33	2-4
Orioles	35-41	22-19	13-22	18-18	17-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7	BAL -148
Jul 3rd	BAL	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7	BAL -111
Jun 30th	MIN	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 6.5	MIN -105
Jun 30th	MIN	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7	MIN +100
Jun 29th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -130

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	94	6	6	2
RB.Baker, P	24	0.2	2	3
LK.Akin, P	27	1.1	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	3-5	1	1	2
2H.Kjerstad, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
6C.Cowser, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Mateo, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	2-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	93	5.2	6	2
RA.Voth, P	6	0.1	1	0
RR.Stanek, P	11	1	2	0
RT.Thornton, P	16	1	2	1
RA.Munoz, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-4	1	0	3
2M.Garver, DH	1-4	1	1	2
3C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
4L.Raley, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	2	1	1
6T.France, 1B	1-3	2	0	0
7J.Rojas, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Haniger, RF	0-1	1	0	0
9R.Bliss, 2B	0-3	0	0	0