Orioles vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - June 22, 2024

Orioles at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

11 - 14

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Bloss			6.94	0-1
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	-1.5	-1.5+103	o8.5-103	-155
Astros 0-2	u8.5	+1.5-123	u8.5-116	+130

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

June 22, 2024

Minute Maid ParkHouston

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases-110

BAL -155

BAL -1.5+110

Over 8.5-120

G.Rodriguez u6.5 Ks-119

1.19u

Under in half his twelve starts, but all of his overs were against teams that K above avg (SEA, BOS, CHW, PIT, LAA x2). HOU at home vs righties is anything but a plus matchup - 19.5% K% and a 126 wRC+. Even without Tucker, they should have a lineup flush with guys who K below avg, especially at the top of the order (Altuve, Pena, Bregman, Yordan, Diaz).

Featured Insight
The Orioles have allowed just 1.7 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (13 games). The Astros have scored just 1.6 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (11 games).

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Featured Insight
Astros have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- fifth best in MLB. Orioles have won just 42% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Orioles are 8-13 (.381) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The Orioles are 9-6 (.600) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .367.

Yordan Alvarez is slugging .537 on breaking pitches since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 85th Percentile.

55% of Alex Bregman fastball strikeouts are located away since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 57% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are located away since last season -- tied for eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 20th	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	HOU -180
Jun 20th	@CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	HOU -116
Jun 19th	@CWS	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CWS -175
Jun 16th	DET	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	HOU -166
Jun 15th	DET	L 5-13	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -122

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	94	5	8	7
RJ.Webb, P	15	0	0	4
RD.Tate, P	21	1	1	3
LN.Vespi, P	26	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	3-5	3	2	3
2A.Rutschman, DH	5-5	2	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, LF	1-5	1	0	1
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0	2
5A.Santander, RF	3-5	1	1	3
6J.Westburg, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	2-5	1	0	0
8J.Mateo, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
8C.Cowser, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	0-3	1	0	0
9A.Hays, PH	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Bloss, P	79	3.2	2	2
RS.Dubin, P	35	2.1	3	1
RN.Hernandez, P	40	1.1	2	5
RR.Montero, P	25	0.1	0	3
RT.Scott, P	3	0.1	0	0
RB.Abreu, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	3-5	2	0	2
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-5	2	0	1
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	1	0	0
3C.Hummel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3C.Hummel, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, C	1-4	2	0	1
5J.Meyers, CF	1-5	1	1	3
6J.Singleton, 1B	2-5	2	0	2
7M.Dubon, SS	2-4	2	0	1
8J.Loperfido, LF	3-4	1	0	2
9T.Cabbage, RF	0-3	1	0	0