Tigers vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - June 16, 2024

Tigers at Astros

6:10 pm • SCHN

Detroit Tigers

42-24

1 - 4

Houston Astros

36-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6
K.Maeda			6.09	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 42-24	+1.5	+1.5-140	o8+100	+140
Astros 36-28	u8.5	-1.5+112	u8-125	-166

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

June 16, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

R.Blanco u17.5 Outs+145

Because Verlander was scratched, Blanco’s start was effectively moved up two days (off day was tomorrow), and I’m always weary when pitchers are thrown off cadence (especially a guy like Blanco, who is already at 4.04 pitches per PA, with a below avg strike%). As is, he’s under this line in 4/L7 full starts, and has yet to hit this on 4 days rest. So while this isn’t the best matchup, there’s a lot of factors here that make this play worth it in my eyes (down to +115).

HOU -145 (F5)

0.34u

Flat to -157

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Featured Insight
The Astros have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Tigers have scored first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Astros are just 7-35 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Tigers are just 21-7 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .849.

The Astros are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Tigers are just 26-4 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.

Riley Greene has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since last season -- tied for fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

19 of Kenta Maeda's 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 13% -- 98th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (541/1,283) when behind in the count since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .263 (575 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 -- 88th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 17-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Astros' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	35-29	18-16	17-13	20-24	15-4
Tigers	36-30	19-12	17-18	22-19	14-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	26-36-2	14-20	12-16-2	22-22	3-14-2
Tigers	30-32-4	9-19-3	21-13-1	18-20-3	12-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	36-28	22-12	14-16	25-19	11-8
Tigers	42-24	22-9	20-15	29-12	13-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	DET	L 5-13	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -122
Jun 15th	DET	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7	HOU -121
Jun 12th	@SF	L 3-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SF +101
Jun 12th	@SF	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	HOU +102
Jun 11th	@SF	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	SF -117

Taylor Trammell
LF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Matt Vierling
CF
Vierling is out with shoulder
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	94	5	1	4
LT.Holton, P	15	2	1	0
RJ.Foley, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1W.Perez, RF	1-4	0	0
2M.Vierling, CF	0-4	0	0
3R.Greene, DH	0-4	0	0
4M.Canha, 1B	1-4	1	0
5C.Keith, 2B	0-3	0	0
5A.Ibanez, PH	1-1	0	1
6G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0
7A.Baddoo, LF	0-2	0	0
7J.Rogers, PH	0-1	0	0
8C.Kelly, C	0-2	0	0
9Z.McKinstry, SS	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P	94	7	8	0
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	0	0
LJ.Hader, P	26	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-3	2	1	3
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	2-4	0	0	1
4Y.Diaz, C	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Singleton, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Dubon, LF	1-3	1	0	0
8T.Cabbage, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9C.McCormick, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9C.McCormick, RF	0-2	1	0	0