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Nationals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2025

Nationals at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Washington Nationals

50-75
0
0 - 5

New York Mets

67-58
5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
David Peterson logoD.PetersonNew York Mets logo3.188-5
Jake Irvin logoJ.IrvinWashington Nationals logo5.308-8

Nationals at Mets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals
50-75
+1.5
+1.5+114
o8.5-117
+237
Mets
67-58
u8
-1.5-130
u8.5-102
-292
location pinWednesday 11:10 p.m.
June 11, 2025
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Nationals vs. Mets Expert Picks
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 23-33-1 (-11.2u)
J.Irvin o5.5 Hits Allowed-115
1.15u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 67-70-2 (-1.6u)
NYM -1.5-125
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 87-84-2 (+7.0u)
NYM -1.5-115
0.87u
Follow @PicksOffice on X. Mets hitting 4.62 runs/game, .249 AVG, .758 OPS w/RISP (7th). Alonso on fire – .983 OPS, 17 HR, 61 RBI. Irvin's underlying numbers awful – 2nd %ile whiff, 5th %ile K%, 12th %ile barrel%. Fastball getting crushed – .444 SLG, 5 HR allowed. Peterson's been lights out at home – 3-0, 2.72 ERA at Citi. Over last 7 starts: 2.49 ERA, 1.15 WHIP. Irvin in same span: 4.75 ERA, 1.42 WHIP. Mets 24-7 at home, rolling with 4 wins in last 5. Nationals just dropped 2 of 3 to Texas, shut out twice. Total mismatch. Mets rake vs Nats – 7-3 last 10 vs spread, over has hit in 4 of last 6. Washington’s bullpen brutal – 29th in ERA (5.81), can't hold leads. Mets pen ranks 2nd (2.91 ERA), can slam the door. NY scoring 5.77/game over last 15 days. Everything points to a blowout.
Over 8.5-105
1u
Follow @PicksOffice on X. Perfect storm brewing in Queens. Irvin ranks bottom 5% in whiff & strikeout rate, gives up hard contact – .444 SLG vs fastball, 5 HR allowed. Mets top 10 in OPS w/ RISP, .983 OPS from Alonso, avg 5.77 runs last 15 days. Over trend is real – 4 of last 6 Mets-Nats matchups went over. Nats avg 4.15 runs past 2 weeks, face a Mets bullpen ranked 2nd, but early scoring likely vs Peterson (2.80 ERA) giving way to long relief. Washington bullpen? 29th in ERA – 5.81. Easy pickings late. Citi Field magic – Mets 24-7 at home, won 4 of last 5 overall. Offense clicking, 84 HRs (6th in MLB), .758 OPS w/ RISP. Nationals come in ice cold, shut out twice last series. Irvin’s regression looming vs a locked-in Mets lineup. Expect fireworks.
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (-3.3u)
Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115
1u
DK line
Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115
1u
DK line
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 127-131-9 (-7.8u)
WSH +1.5+107
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 154-174-4 (-1.4u)
Over 8.5-105
0.53u
Bet to -110

Nationals vs. Mets Previews & Analysis

  • 3 MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Wednesday article feature image

    3 MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Wednesday

    Billy Ward•
    Jun 11, 2025 UTC
  • Zerillo's Opening Pitch For Wednesday article feature image

    Zerillo's Opening Pitch For Wednesday

    Sean Zerillo•
    Jun 11, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Nationals vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Nationals

Public

Home Logo

Mets

6%

Bets%

94%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Mets are 27-33 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mets' 65 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets		58-6731-3427-3337-5021-17
Nationals		60-6525-3835-272-1358-52

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mets		56-65-431-32-225-33-242-41-414-24
Nationals		64-56-532-29-232-27-36-958-47-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets		67-5841-2426-3452-3515-23
Nationals		50-7524-3926-364-1146-64

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 10thWSHW 5-4-1.5 LO 8NYM -150
Jun 8th@COLW 13-5-1.5 WO 11NYM -280
Jun 8th@COLW 8-1-1.5 WU 11NYM -295
Jun 7th@COLW 4-2-1.5 WU 10.5NYM -280
Jun 5th@LADL 5-6+1.5 WO 9.5LAD +111

Mets vs. Nationals Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Jesse Winker
    LF

    Winker is out with back

    Out

  • Griffin Canning
    SP

    Canning is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jose Siri
    CF

    Siri is out with leg

    Out

  • Nick Madrigal
    3B

    Madrigal is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Francisco Alvarez
    C

    Alvarez is out with thumb

    Out

  • Tylor Megill
    SP

    Megill is out with elbow

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    SP

    Scott is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Nationals Injuries

  • Josiah Gray
    SP

    Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

    Out

  • DJ Herz
    SP

    Herz is out with elbow

    Out

See more MLB Injuries Right Arrow
Nationals vs. Mets Box Score
Nationals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Jake Irvin logoRJ.Irvin, P100544
Zach Brzykcy logoRZ.Brzykcy, P17110
Jackson Rutledge logoRJ.Rutledge, P31201
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
CJ Abrams logo1C.Abrams, SS0-4000
Amed Rosario logo2A.Rosario, 3B1-4000
James Wood logo3J.Wood, LF2-4000
Andres Chaparro logo4A.Chaparro, DH0-4000
Nathaniel Lowe logo5N.Lowe, 1B0-3000
Alex Call logo6A.Call, RF0-3000
Riley Adams logo7R.Adams, C0-3000
Luis Garcia logo8L.Garcia, 2B2-3000
Jacob Young logo9J.Young, CF1-3000
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
David Peterson logoLD.Peterson, P106960
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Francisco Lindor logo1F.Lindor, SS1-4100
Brandon Nimmo logo2B.Nimmo, LF2-3322
Juan Soto logo3J.Soto, RF2-4112
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B1-2001
Jeff McNeil logo5J.McNeil, CF1-4000
Tyrone Taylor logo5T.Taylor, CF0-0000
Jared Young logo6J.Young, DH0-3000
Luis Torrens logo7L.Torrens, C0-4000
Brett Baty logo8B.Baty, 2B0-3000
Brett Baty logo8B.Baty, 3B0-3000
Ronny Mauricio logo9R.Mauricio, 3B0-2000
Luisangel Acuna logo9L.Acuna, 2B0-1000

Nationals vs. Mets Odds Comparison

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Nationals at Mets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Nationals
50-75
o3.5+117
u3.5-148
Mets
67-58
o5.5+107
u5.5-137