Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2025

📚Player Profit 🔑 Nationals ML +104 (Player Profit) 3u The get back here. Weathers making his 1st start for the Marlins after a very long absence. They said he’ll only be maxed at 80 pitches. Gore also making his return from the IL but he was only on the min amount of time. Nats have won 4/L5 games. Sharp money coming in strong on them. Better lineup and pitcher going tn. Give me them at +money all day. Code: sirlocks for 10% off every deposit at https://www.playerprofit.com/

Weathers flashed awesome secondary pitches over 16 starts last season. His changeup posted a +4 run value and a hefty 37.9% whiff rate. His sweeper had an absurd 51.5% whiff rate and held hitters to a .115 BA and .173 SLG. The problem was his fastball. Weathers' heater posted a -4 run value. Hitters hammered it for a .313 BA and .446 SLG. Weathers added more than a tick of velocity to his fastball over the offseason. He came out sitting 97.2 mph with the 4-seamer after being at 95.9 mph last season. With the fastball now keeping hitters honest, Weathers posted a career-best 12.1% SwStr% through 5 starts. The Nationals are the single best strikeout matchup for LHP right now. They lead the league with a 27.9% K% vs. LHP since the start of July and are dead last in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. Tonight's projected lineup has combined for a massive 27.3% K% across 884 plate appearances against LHP this season. Weathers is likely capped at 5 innings here, but that should be more than enough in this matchup.

THE BAT X is forecasting 5.39 strikeouts for Ryan Weathers. Oddsmakers are implying 4.43 strikeouts, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 63% of the time resulting in a 38% ROI with expected value of $38.40 (based on a $100 wager). Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=inf8qq%22%3EEV Analytics!

Bet to +105