Nationals vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2025

Nationals at Astros

12:10 am • MASN2

Washington Nationals

44-66

2 - 1

Houston Astros

62-49

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Valdez			2.62	11-4
B.Lord			3.27	2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 44-66	+1.5	+1.5+100	o7-124	+212
Astros 62-49	u7	-1.5-120	u7+103	-260

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

July 29, 2025

Daikin ParkHouston

WSH +215

2.15u

🔑 Nationals ML +215 (FanDuel) 1u This value is just wild. Nats are not the white Sox or Rockies, they have some heavy hitters, they should never be +200 even vs an ace. Sprinkling a unit on this.

WSH +235

0.47u

Exchange. Small to +205

HOU -1.5-105

1.05u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

0.33u

HOU -1.5+100

Framber Valdez is on fire with a 2.67 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, giving Houston a huge edge every time he takes the mound. He’s owned the Nationals in past matchups and comes in red-hot, giving the Astros total control from the first pitch tonight. Brad Lord is an untested rookie with command issues, walking into a nightmare matchup against Houston’s deep lineup. The Astros’ offense ranks among the best at home, while the Nationals struggle to score on the road. This is a major mismatch in both talent and momentum. Houston’s bullpen is absolutely locked in, leading MLB in ERA since the break. Hader and Abreu can shut any rally down late, and the Astros’ offense is consistent and dangerous. Washington simply doesn’t have the arms or bats to keep up with this Astros attack.

F.Valdez o6.5 Ks-122

0.82u

Have Valdez projected at 7.99 strikeouts. Fewer sinkers recently has helped him up his strikeout rate a couple of percentage points.

Under 7.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -112

Nationals vs Astros: Value on the Road Underdogs?
Action Network Staff•
Jul 28, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 28-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Astros' 59 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	56-55	28-31	28-24	32-46	24-8
Nationals	54-56	22-32	32-24	2-12	52-44

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	47-58-6	25-33-1	22-25-5	36-40-2	10-18-4
Nationals	58-49-3	29-25	29-24-3	5-9	53-40-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	62-49	35-24	27-25	43-35	19-13
Nationals	44-66	21-33	23-33	4-10	40-56

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 27th	ATH	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8	ATH -145
Jul 26th	ATH	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATH -183
Jul 26th	ATH	L 3-15	-1.5 L	O 9	ATH -138
Jul 25th	ATH	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9	ATH -150
Jul 23rd	@ARI	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU +118

Jake Meyers
CF
Meyers is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lord, P	59	5.1	2	1
LK.Pilkington, P	11	0.2	1	0
RL.Garcia, P	14	1	1	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	13	1	2	0
RK.Finnegan, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Call, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-3	1	0	0
4N.Lowe, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
5P.DeJong, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
5L.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5L.Garcia, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Lile, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.House, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Adams, C	2-4	1	1	1
9J.Young, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	97	6	12	1
LB.King, P	17	1	2	1
RB.Abreu, P	22	1	3	0
LJ.Hader, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Trammell, RF	1-3	0	0
1C.Hummel, PH	1-1	0	0
1S.Whitcomb, 3B	0-0	0	0
2J.Altuve, LF	0-4	0	0
3V.Caratini, DH	0-4	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0
5J.Melton, CF	0-3	0	0
6Y.Diaz, C	0-2	1	0
7M.Dubon, 3B	1-3	0	1
7M.Dubon, SS	1-3	0	1
8B.Matthews, 2B	0-3	0	0
9Z.Short, SS	0-2	0	0
9C.McCormick, PH	0-1	0	0
9C.McCormick, RF	0-1	0	0