Phillies vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2024

Phillies at Nationals

10:45 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

22-16

1 - 9

Washington Nationals

17-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Williams			2.03	6-1
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 22-16	-1.5	-1.5-110	o8.5-102	-185
Nationals 17-22	u7.5	+1.5-110	u8.5-115	+154

Friday 10:45 p.m.

September 27, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

Featured Insight
Phillies right-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals have a strikeout rate of 28% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB. Phillies left-handed hitters have struck out 32% against RHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 69-89 (.437) this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Bryce Harper is batting .289 since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .291 (166-for-571) against Trevor Williams since the 2022 season -- tied for third worst among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP-- third Percentile.

77% of non-fastball strikeouts for Bryce Harper are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 79% of Trevor Williams non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (404/1,107) against Trevor Williams on sliders since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 8-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Nationals' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	19-20	11-9	8-11	2-4	17-16
Phillies	19-19	10-9	9-10	14-16	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	21-18	13-7	8-11	3-3	18-15
Phillies	18-20	11-8	7-12	15-15	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	17-22	10-10	7-12	3-3	14-19
Phillies	22-16	13-6	9-10	18-12	4-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 26th	KC	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +145
Sep 25th	KC	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	KC +114
Sep 24th	KC	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7	KC +165
Sep 22nd	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CHC +170
Sep 21st	@CHC	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +114

Paul DeJong
3B
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
1B
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
SP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	59	2	2	6
LT.Gilbert, P	36	2	1	1
LJ.Alvarado, P	10	1	0	0
LM.Strahm, P	15	1	1	0
RJ.Ruiz, P	16	1	0	1
LT.Banks, P	31	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2E.Sosa, SS	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
3K.Clemens, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3K.Clemens, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-2	0	0	0
4W.Wilson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Hays, LF	2-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	77	5	5	0
LR.Garcia, P	9	1	1	0
RE.Salazar, P	9	1	1	0
RT.Rainey, P	15	1	1	1
LJ.La Sorsa, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Crews, RF	1-4	2	0	0
2J.Wood, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3J.Yepez, 1B	3-4	3	0	1
4K.Ruiz, C	2-5	0	0	3
5S.Garrett, DH	3-4	2	1	3
6L.Garcia, 2B	3-5	1	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Young, CF	3-4	0	0	1
9N.Nunez, SS	0-3	0	0	0