Mets vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 2, 2024

Mets at Nationals

10:45 pm • MASN

New York Mets

0-0

7 - 2

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Herz			4.16	4-9
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 0-0	-1.5+110	o9-111	-143
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-130	u9-109	+120

Tuesday 10:45 p.m.

July 02, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

H.Bader o1.5 Total Bases+130

Over 9-110

S.Manaea u4.5 Ks-135

1.35u

D.Herz o4.5 Ks-122

0.98u

Featured Insight
The Mets have scored three or more runs in an inning 232 times (7%) since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Nationals have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of just 16% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 7-25 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Mets are 11-8 (.579) after a road loss this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Pete Alonso has 103 home runs since the 2022 season -- fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Kyle Finnegan has allowed 25 home runs since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth most among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

46% of Jesse Winker strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 364 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 37% of Jake Diekman strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 8 of 42 batters (19%) -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- 0 Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 6 of 28 right-handed batters (21%) -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 1st	NYM	L 7-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +100
Jun 30th	@TB	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TB +160
Jun 29th	@TB	W 8-1	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +114
Jun 28th	@TB	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +154
Jun 26th	@SD	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SD +154

Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	97	7	5	1
RJ.Butto, P	26	2	1	0
RD.Nunez, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	2	1	1
2H.Bader, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	2-3	1	0	2
3M.Vientos, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
3B.Gamel, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3B.Gamel, RF	0-0	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-5	1	1	2
5F.Alvarez, C	1-5	0	0	0
6L.Torrens, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	0-4	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	0-4	1	0	0
8J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
8J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
9J.McNeil, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.McNeil, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Herz, P	92	5.2	10	1
RD.Floro, P	15	1.1	2	0
RH.Harvey, P	21	1	0	1
RK.Finnegan, P	10	1	1	0
LR.Garcia, P	21	1	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-5	0	1
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0
3H.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	1
3J.Winker, PH	0-2	0	0
3J.Winker, DH	0-2	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-3	0	0
5I.Vargas, 2B	0-4	0	0
5I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0
6J.Wood, LF	0-3	0	0
7K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0
8N.Senzel, 3B	1-3	1	0
8L.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0
8L.Garcia, 2B	0-1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	1	0