Mets vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 2, 2024

Mets at Nationals

10:45 pm • MASN

New York Mets

7-6

7 - 2

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Herz			4.16	4-9
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+110	o9-111	-143
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-130	u9-109	+120

Tuesday 10:45 p.m.

July 02, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

H.Bader o1.5 Total Bases+130

S.Manaea u4.5 Ks-135

1.35u

D.Herz o4.5 Ks-122

0.98u

Over 9-112

The Mets are so hot offensively they can nearly take care of this number themselves especially facing a lefty starter.

Featured Insight
The Mets have scored three or more runs in an inning 232 times (7%) since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. Nationals have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB. Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of just 16% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 7-25 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Mets are 11-8 (.579) after a road loss this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Pete Alonso has 103 home runs since the 2022 season -- fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Kyle Finnegan has allowed 25 home runs since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth most among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

46% of Jesse Winker strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 364 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 37% of Jake Diekman strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 8 of 42 batters (19%) -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- 0 Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 6 of 28 right-handed batters (21%) -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 1st	NYM	L 7-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +100
Jun 30th	@TB	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TB +160
Jun 29th	@TB	W 8-1	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +114
Jun 28th	@TB	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +154
Jun 26th	@SD	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SD +154

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	97	7	5	1
RJ.Butto, P	26	2	1	0
RD.Nunez, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	2	1	1
2H.Bader, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	2-3	1	0	2
3M.Vientos, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
3B.Gamel, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3B.Gamel, RF	0-0	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-5	1	1	2
5F.Alvarez, C	1-5	0	0	0
6L.Torrens, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	0-4	1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	0-4	1	0	0
8J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
8J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	1	0	1
9J.McNeil, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.McNeil, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Herz, P	92	5.2	10	1
RD.Floro, P	15	1.1	2	0
RH.Harvey, P	21	1	0	1
RK.Finnegan, P	10	1	1	0
LR.Garcia, P	21	1	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-5	0	1
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0
3H.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	1
3J.Winker, PH	0-2	0	0
3J.Winker, DH	0-2	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-3	0	0
5I.Vargas, 2B	0-4	0	0
5I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0
6J.Wood, LF	0-3	0	0
7K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0
8N.Senzel, 3B	1-3	1	0
8L.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0
8L.Garcia, 2B	0-1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	1	0