Marlins vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - August 17, 2025

Marlins at Red Sox

5:35 pm • FDSFL

Miami Marlins

59-65

5 - 3

Boston Red Sox

68-57

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Crochet			2.43	13-5
J.Junk			4.05	6-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 59-65	+1.5	+1.5+106	o8.5-115	+213
Red Sox 68-57	u8.5	-1.5-126	u8.5-105	-260

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

August 17, 2025

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

BOS -1.5-120

1.2u

BOS o2.5 Team Total (F5)-115

Under 8.5-120

0.5u

Caught my eye we’re getting an 8.5 total on a Garrett Crochet game. Obviously it’s because the books aren’t high on Janson Junk stopping this Red Sox offense. I am not a complete Janson Junk truther (yet) but his underlying metrics this season look solid. He has a 0.96 BB/9 ratio and a 0.60 HR/9 ratio, which are fantastic. He’s not going to strike out a ton of batters but this season he hasn’t been hurting himself with walks or homers. I’ll bite on u8.5 here.

Marlins vs Red Sox: Expect a Low-Scoring Game
Action Network Staff•
Aug 17, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 33-28 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Red Sox' 64 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	69-56	36-28	33-28	42-35	27-19
Marlins	73-51	32-27	41-24	6-12	66-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	61-61-3	27-35-2	34-26-1	39-36-2	22-23-1
Marlins	58-64-2	26-33	32-31-2	8-10	49-53-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	68-57	41-23	27-34	47-30	21-25
Marlins	59-65	28-31	31-34	9-9	50-54

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 16th	MIA	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -195
Aug 15th	MIA	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS -166
Aug 13th	@HOU	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 8	HOU +132
Aug 13th	@HOU	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -110
Aug 12th	@HOU	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	HOU -162

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season
Connor Norby
3B
Norby is out with wrist
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Junk, P	87	7	6	3
RT.Phillips, P	8	1	0	0
RA.Bender, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, 2B	0-5	1	0	0
2A.Ramirez, C	0-3	0	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4H.Hernandez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4L.Hicks, PH	1-1	0	0	1
4L.Hicks, DH	1-1	0	0	1
5J.Sanoja, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6D.Myers, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7J.Wiemer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Johnston, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7T.Johnston, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Wagaman, 1B	2-4	2	1	1
9D.Hill, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Marsee, PH	2-2	1	1	2
9J.Marsee, CF	2-2	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LG.Crochet, P	94	7	8	1
RG.Whitlock, P	21	1	1	1
RG.Weissert, P	8	0.1	0	2
LS.Matz, P	11	0.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Anthony, LF	0-4	0	0	0
1R.Anthony, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Story, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Duran, CF	1-3	1	0	0
3J.Duran, LF	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Yoshida, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	2-3	2	1	2
5A.Bregman, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Toro, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
7A.Toro, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
8C.Rafaela, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Narvaez, C	1-4	0	0	0