Marlins vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

Marlins at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Miami Marlins

26-33

4 - 6

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Mlodzinski			3.38	5-5
A.Oller			5.32	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 26-33	+1.5	+1.5-151	o8.5-118	+141
Pirates 31-28	u9	-1.5+127	u8.5-102	-167

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 10, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Featured Insight
The Marlins are batting .300 with RISP over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .348 (23-for-66) against Pirates RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored 5.4 runs per game over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB (13 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.7 runs per game over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 10, 2024 UTC

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The Pirates are just 37-63 (.370) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Bryan Reynolds had a swing rate of 42% on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2022 season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Opponents batted just .255 (12-for-47) against Adam Oller on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2022 season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Michael A. Taylor has struck out in 34% of PA's since last season -- tied for sixth highest among hitters with at least 457 total PA's-- second Percentile. Andrew Nardi has a strikeout rate of 32% since last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (8/59) against Carmen Mlodzinski this season -- 5th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 23% -- 95th Percentile.

Carmen Mlodzinski has a strike rate of just 59% (136/229) in two strike counts this season -- 7th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 65% -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Marlins	24-35	13-20	11-15	14-18	10-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Marlins	35-21-3	17-16	18-5-3	15-17	20-4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Marlins	26-33	18-15	8-18	20-12	6-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	MIA	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -276
Sep 8th	WSH	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT -157
Sep 7th	WSH	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -148
Sep 7th	WSH	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -130
Sep 5th	WSH	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8	PIT -125

Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Oller, P		83	5	2	6
RG.Soriano, P		46	3	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Sanoja, SS	1-5	0	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	0-4	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	1-5	1	1
3J.Devers, PR	0-0	0	0
4O.Lopez, 2B	1-4	1	0
5G.Conine, LF	0-3	0	0
6J.Bride, DH	1-3	0	1
7K.Stowers, CF	2-4	1	1
8D.Hensley, 1B	0-3	0	0
9J.Pereda, C	3-4	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Mlodzinski, P	27	2	1	0
LJ.Wentz, P	52	2.2	3	1
RK.Nicolas, P	35	1	0	2
LR.Borucki, P	7	0.1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	12	1	1	0
RD.Santana, P	18	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	17	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	2-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	2	0	1
3O.Cruz, CF	0-3	1	0	1
4A.McCutchen, DH	1-2	1	1	3
5J.Bart, C	1-4	0	0	1
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7N.Gonzales, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
8B.Cook, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	1	0	0