Marlins vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 14, 2024

Marlins at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Miami Marlins

35-45

5 - 9

Philadelphia Phillies

48-34

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Phillips			6.87	4-1
E.Cabrera			4.95	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 35-45	+1.5-143	o8.5-115	+143
Phillies 48-34	-1.5+120	u8.5-105	-170

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 14, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases+145

1.45u

B.Harper o3.5 Total Bases+400

E.Cabrera o5.5 Ks-128

1.5u

MIA +143

PHI -165

0.61u

E.Cabrera o5.5 Ks-115

1.15u

Over in 7/12 games. The strikeout stuff is never a question with him - he’s consistently in the top 70-85th percentile of K and whiff rates. It’s the location-related implosions. But… he’s coming off two straight stellar starts, and a four straight outings with at least 5 IP. This Phillies right now are a sneaky decent opponent. Over the L30 days vs righties, they’re at a 77 wRC+ (29th), .639 OPS (28th), and 22.3% K% (17th) - the latter I’m less concerned about because Cabrera is an outlier type K pitcher. Plus, the Phillies with the sixth highest chase rate the L30 days.

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Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Marlins have scored first in just 43% of their games this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 22-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Phillies' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	41-41	19-21	22-20	32-33	9-8
Marlins	45-35	20-21	25-14	3-7	41-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	34-44-4	20-18-2	14-26-2	27-34-4	7-10
Marlins	40-40	18-23	22-17	5-5	34-34

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	48-34	26-14	22-20	42-23	6-11
Marlins	35-45	17-24	18-21	5-5	30-38

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 13th	MIA	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 9	MIA -205
Aug 11th	@ARI	L 5-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI -130
Aug 11th	@ARI	L 1-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI -101
Aug 10th	@ARI	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ARI -135
Aug 9th	@ARI	W 6-4	+1.5 W	U 10.5	PHI +110

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

Bryce Harper
1B
Harper is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	82	4	2	6
LK.Emanuel, P	34	2.1	2	0
RD.Cronin, P	21	0.2	0	3
RB.de Geus, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	1-3	1	0	0
2J.Burger, DH	2-4	2	0	0
3J.Sanchez, RF	2-5	1	0	1
4J.Bride, 1B	2-4	1	1	4
5K.Stowers, LF	1-5	0	0	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
7D.Hill, CF	2-4	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Sanchez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Hensley, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9J.Pereda, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Phillips, P	87	4.1	4	5
RJ.Ruiz, P	7	0.2	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	18	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	17	1	0	0
RC.Estevez, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-5	1	1	4
2N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	2-3	2	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	2-3	1	0	2
7E.Sosa, SS	0-4	1	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	2-4	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	2	0	0