Marlins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Marlins at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN2

Miami Marlins

19-27

0 - 4

Washington Nationals

21-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Herz			4.16	4-9
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 19-27	+1.5-190	o8.5-122	+105
Nationals 21-27	-1.5+160	u8.5+100	-125

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

MIA +105

D.Herz o4.5 Ks+106

1.06u

Over 9-105

1.05u

C.Abrams o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Nationals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters since last season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Marlins have answered-back in just 18% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Saturday MLB Bets & Previews
Kenny Ducey•
Jun 15, 2024 UTC

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The Marlins are just 2-9 (.182) after a road win this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .458.

The Nationals are 7-2 (.778) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Marlins are just 20-14 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Joey Meneses is batting .300 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 13th best among hitters with at least 100 total PA's-- 91st Percentile. Declan Cronin has thrown his slider 56% of the time this season -- tied for 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

CJ Abrams has a hard-hit rate of 47% on non-fastballs down this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against Trevor Rogers on low non-fastballs this season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP-- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/28) against Davidjohn Herz this month (2 games) -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a first-pitch strike rate of just 40% (18/45) this month (2 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 40% of Davidjohn Herz's pitches (21/53) with two-strikes this month (2 games) -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 13-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Nationals' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	24-24	11-11	13-13	2-5	22-19
Marlins	24-22	14-12	10-10	2-4	21-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	23-24-1	13-9	10-15-1	3-4	20-20-1
Marlins	28-18	15-11	13-7	3-3	25-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	21-27	10-12	11-15	3-4	18-23
Marlins	19-27	13-13	6-14	4-2	15-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	MIA	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH -180
Jun 13th	@DET	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	DET +130
Jun 12th	@DET	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +102
Jun 11th	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	WSH -102
Jun 9th	ATL	W 8-5	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +144

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul DeJong
3B
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
1B
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
SP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	93	7	3	2
LA.Nardi, P	19	0.2	0	2
RA.Bender, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Myers, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Chisholm, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7J.Chisholm, CF	1-1	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-2	0	0	0
9O.Lopez, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LD.Herz, P	84	6	13
RD.Floro, P	7	1	1
RH.Harvey, P	31	1	3
RK.Finnegan, P	9	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	2-4	2	1	1
3J.Winker, LF	1-1	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, PH	1-3	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-3	1	1	3
5I.Vargas, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
5I.Vargas, LF	2-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Millas, C	1-3	0	0	0
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0	0