Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

29-44

4 - 2

New York Mets

45-30

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.04	4-5
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 29-44	+1.5-166	o7.5-105	+130
Mets 45-30	-1.5+140	u7.5-115	-155

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

T.Megill o17.5 Outs-102

MIA +123

0.92u

MIA +125

3.75u

NYM -133

NYM -135 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -140

NYM -132

0.5u

Flat to -135

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

The Mets are just 17-10 (.630) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

Starling Marte is batting .414 over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .361 (13-for-36) against Jesus Luzardo over the last two weeks -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .348 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- sixth best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has thrown his slider 29% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 82nd Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of .785 (369 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 -- sixth Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .445 (137 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .327 -- 0 Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .464 (154 Total Bases / 332 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 -- 13th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Mets' 37 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	38-37	19-18	19-19	25-29	13-8
Marlins	39-34	18-20	21-14	3-7	35-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	29-45-1	15-21-1	14-24	25-28-1	4-17
Marlins	37-36	18-20	19-16	5-5	31-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	45-30	27-10	18-20	36-18	9-12
Marlins	29-44	15-23	14-21	5-5	24-37

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142
Jun 4th	@WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -142
Jun 3rd	@WSH	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 8	NYM -105

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kodai Senga
SP
Senga is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	91	5.2	4	2
RA.Bender, P	14	0.2	0	0
LA.Nardi, P	13	0.2	1	0
LT.Scott, P	31	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	0-3	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-3	0	1
3J.Bell, 1B	0-3	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0
4J.Burger, 3B	0-4	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	1	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	1-4	1	0
7N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	1
8T.Anderson, SS	2-4	1	1
9N.Fortes, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	87	4.2	8	2
LD.Young, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	20	1.1	1	0
RD.Smith, P	9	1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	0-4	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	0-2	1	0
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	1	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	0	2
7H.Bader, CF	0-2	0	0
7D.Stewart, PH	0-0	0	0
7T.Taylor, PR	0-1	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Iglesias, 2B	1-1	0	0
9J.McNeil, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-1	0	0