Guardians vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - August 20, 2024

Guardians at Yankees

11:05 pm • BSGL
9 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Luis Gil logoL.GilNew York Yankees logo3.5015-7
Matthew Boyd logoM.BoydCleveland Guardians logo2.722-2

Guardians at Yankees Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians
4-6
+1.5-162
o8-102
+130
Yankees
8-6
-1.5+135
u8-118
-154
location pinTuesday 11:05 p.m.
August 20, 2024
Yankee StadiumBronx
Guardians vs. Yankees Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
81d ago
Last 30d: 24-51-0 (-18.2u)
J.Naylor o1.5 Total Bases+150
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
81d ago
Last 30d: 209-237-1 (-14.4u)
NYY -150
1u
good home favs off a loss Overall: 686-393-0,64% (ROI:10%) Season:37-13-0,74% (ROI:28%)
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
81d ago
Last 30d: 213-222-3 (+14.6u)
NYY -152
3.8u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
81d ago
Last 30d: 35-29-0 (+5.8u)
L.Gil u5.5 Ks-130
$100.00
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
81d ago
Last 30d: 67-87-3 (-9.6u)
NYY -140 (F5)
0.5u
Flat to -155
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
81d ago
Last 30d: 44-51-2 (-3.3u)
J.Soto o0.5 HR+480
4.8u
Circa
Picks  Office
Picks Office
81d ago
Last 30d: 85-110-3 (-32.3u)
Under 8.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Cleveland has been consistently involved in low-scoring affairs, hitting the under in 11 of their last 15 road games, which emphasizes their inability to produce offense away from home. The Guardians have alternately hit the under in 15 of their last 21 Tuesday games, which may seem a bit arbitrary but could reflect some deeper pattern of the way this team performs on specific days of the week. The Yankees have trended heavily with the under in recent games that are played on a Tuesday. In fact, the under has cashed in 19 of the last 27 games. These indicate both of these teams often stay under the projected total in games, notably under similar situations in scheduling. Let's zero in on the pitching matchup: for the Yankees, Luis Gil has been rather good this season, with a 3.47 ERA and a WHIP of 1.27, although he hasn't been super sharp in his last three starts, allowing an ERA of 6.75. But his full-season numbers say he is capable of throwing a good game, especially with a Cleveland lineup that has really struggled to hit right-handed pitching. The Guardians' below-average offense, with an OPS of .230 and a batting average of .231 against right-handers, does not stand to cause too much havoc against Gil. Compounded by Cleveland's terrible road OPS of .225, which sheds some light on the terribleness that they have been thrown at them on the road. Gil's ability to silence opposing baserunners and runs, in addition to the fact that the Yankees bullpen has an ERA of 3.91 at home, also indicates that this game may have less scoring. The Guardians counter with Matthew Boyd on the bump, some decent, if short, sample-size recent effort. Boyd has thrown to a 3.28 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last few starts, which makes for some evidence of his working ability to control games. His strong form is of essence to the under, as he takes on a Yankees lineup that, while a bit better against left-handed pitching with a .255 OPS and a .257 average, has not really been too effective on offense consistently. Boyd will have to bring with him the good command he has of the ball, not letting it soar and not overly doling out hits or free passes to keep this Yankees offense at bay. Also, Boyd will be supported by one of the elite bullpens in the game, as Cleveland's relievers currently possess a collective ERA of 2.30 through 395.1 innings pitched. Even more importantly, this bullpen has been able to shut the door in many of their victories while also minimizing late-inning comeback opportunities—an ideal situation for an under bet. Historically, these teams have been low-scoring against one another, with the under posting a 12-4 count in their last 16 matchups. This is supported by the form of both sides at the moment, particularly their recent bouts of struggles at the plate. An OPS of .245 by the Yankees and .235 by Cleveland reflects an offense that has been, at best, inconsistent but often ineffective against decent pitching. Combine that fact with strong bullpens on each side, and you have a game likely to be a grind with runs hard to come by. Also, both teams are looking for more offense after recent contests in which neither could create much offense—a trend that could continue here. While the Yankees bullpen comes in with a pretty high 1.27 WHIP, it's been good enough at home to hold on once they get a lead or keep the game close enough till the offense can catch up, and Cleveland's bullpen should be able to shut things down late. When taking all of these factors together: trending under in like matchups, quality pitching, relatively effective bullpen work, and limp offenses, it is no surprise the Under 8.5 feels strongest on this game.
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
81d ago
Last 30d: 68-73-5 (-14.6u)
Under 8.5-110
1.1u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
82d ago
Last 30d: 74-60-12 (+8.7u)
Under 8.5-110
1.1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
82d ago
Last 30d: 67-87-3 (-9.6u)
Under 8.5-105
0.53u
Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
82d ago
Last 30d: 68-73-5 (-14.6u)
CLE +140
1.4u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
82d ago
Last 30d: 148-175-1 (-55.8u)
CLE +140
1.4u

PRO Insights

Guardians logo

Guardians

CLE Insights
  • Guardians logoGuardians have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Yankees have won just 42% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for second worst in MLB.
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Yankees logo

Yankees

NYY Insights
  • Yankees logoYankees have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for second best in MLB. Guardians have won just 42% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for fifth worst in MLB.
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Guardians vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis

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    'Payoff Pitch' Podcast Best Bets for Tuesday

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    Aug 20, 2024 UTC
  • 5/5 PRO Signals Match on Yankees-Guardians article feature image

    5/5 PRO Signals Match on Yankees-Guardians

    Alex Kolodziej
    Aug 20, 2024 UTC
  • Guardians vs Yankees: Both Teams Struggling to Score Runs article feature image

    Guardians vs Yankees: Both Teams Struggling to Score Runs

    Justin Perri
    Aug 20, 2024 UTC
  • Our 4 MLB Best Bets for Tuesday article feature image

    Our 4 MLB Best Bets for Tuesday

    Action Network Staff
    Aug 20, 2024 UTC
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Guardians vs. Yankees Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Guardians vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages

10%

Bets%

90%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
80-8235-4645-3662-7218-9
Guardians
83-7842-3841-4048-5034-27

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Yankees
87-69-645-33-342-36-376-54-411-14-2
Guardians
67-83-1138-38-429-45-745-46-721-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees
94-6844-3750-3176-5818-9
Guardians
92-6950-3042-3963-3528-33

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 18th@DETL 2-3+1.5 WU 8DET +105
Aug 17th@DETL 0-4-1.5 LU 9DET -245
Aug 16th@DETW 3-0-1.5 WU 8.5NYY -205
Aug 15th@CWSW 10-2-1.5 WO 9NYY -250
Aug 14th@CWSW 4-1-1.5 WU 9NYY -295

Guardians vs. Yankees Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

    Yankees Injuries

    • Nestor Cortes
      P

      Cortes is out with elbow

      Out

    • JT Brubaker
      P

      Brubaker is out with elbow

      Out

    Guardians vs. Yankees Box Score
    Guardians Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Matthew Boyd logoLM.Boyd, P855.123
    Nick Sandlin logoRN.Sandlin, P90.200
    Hunter Gaddis logoRH.Gaddis, P23100
    Cade Smith logoRC.Smith, P17110
    Emmanuel Clase logoRE.Clase, P20200
    Tim Herrin logoLT.Herrin, P8110
    Scott Barlow logoRS.Barlow, P23111
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF0-4100
    Jose Ramirez logo2J.Ramirez, 3B1-6101
    Josh Naylor logo3J.Naylor, 1B0-5000
    Tyler Freeman logo3T.Freeman, PR0-0100
    Tyler Freeman logo3T.Freeman, CF0-0100
    Will Brennan logo4W.Brennan, DH0-2000
    David Fry logo4D.Fry, PH1-4103
    David Fry logo4D.Fry, DH1-4103
    Jhonkensy Noel logo5J.Noel, RF2-6201
    Jhonkensy Noel logo5J.Noel, 1B2-6201
    Andres Gimenez logo6A.Gimenez, 2B0-4000
    Daniel Schneemann logo7D.Schneemann, CF2-5101
    Daniel Schneemann logo7D.Schneemann, RF2-5101
    Austin Hedges logo7A.Hedges, C0-0000
    Bo Naylor logo8B.Naylor, C2-5001
    Lane Thomas logo8L.Thomas, PH1-2101
    Lane Thomas logo8L.Thomas, RF1-2101
    Brayan Rocchio logo9B.Rocchio, SS3-5111
    Yankees Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Luis Gil logoRL.Gil, P78333
    Tim Hill logoLT.Hill, P24200
    Mark Leiter logoRM.Leiter, P18120
    Luke Weaver logoRL.Weaver, P14110
    Tommy Kahnle logoRT.Kahnle, P15100
    Clay Holmes logoRC.Holmes, P18130
    Jake Cousins logoRJ.Cousins, P35220
    Tim Mayza logoLT.Mayza, P120.102
    Michael Tonkin logoRM.Tonkin, P350.213
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Gleyber Torres logo1G.Torres, 2B0-4100
    Juan Soto logo2J.Soto, RF1-5111
    Aaron Judge logo3A.Judge, CF2-5113
    Giancarlo Stanton logo4G.Stanton, DH0-3000
    Trent Grisham logo4T.Grisham, PR0-2000
    Trent Grisham logo4T.Grisham, DH0-2000
    Alex Verdugo logo5A.Verdugo, LF0-6000
    Jose Trevino logo6J.Trevino, C0-0100
    Austin Wells logo6A.Wells, PH1-2000
    Austin Wells logo6A.Wells, C1-2000
    Anthony Volpe logo7A.Volpe, SS2-4001
    DJ LeMahieu logo8D.LeMahieu, 1B0-5000
    Oswald Peraza logo9O.Peraza, 3B1-2000
    Oswaldo Cabrera logo9O.Cabrera, PH0-3100
    Oswaldo Cabrera logo9O.Cabrera, 3B0-3100

    Guardians vs. Yankees Odds Comparison

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    Guardians at Yankees Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Guardians
    4-6
    o3.5-110
    u3.5-120
    Yankees
    8-6
    o4.5+105
    u4.5-135