Guardians vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Guardians at White Sox

11:10 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

49-50

1 - 3

Chicago White Sox

36-65

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Clevinger			6.75	0-3
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 49-50	-1.5-111	o8-111	-180
White Sox 36-65	+1.5-109	u8-109	+150

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Rate FieldChicago

Over 4.5 (F5)+103

CLE -1.5+100

0.5u

M.Clevinger u3.5 Ks-112

Projection leans towards the under here and +ev bet with devig odds of -149 giving value to the under

Over 8-105

0.53u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed an OPS of just .573 (615 PAs) this season -- second best in MLB. White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .601 this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
White Sox hitters have a groundball rate of 46% since last season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 46-50 (.479) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Triston McKenzie has walked 16 of 97 batters (17%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 26% (50/195) against Mike Clevinger since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 29-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of White Sox' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	57-44	28-22	29-22	0-2	57-42
Guardians	51-48	22-25	29-23	19-19	32-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	44-53-4	26-21-3	18-32-1	0-2	44-51-4
Guardians	43-52-4	23-23-1	20-29-3	20-18	23-33-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	36-65	21-29	15-36	1-1	35-64
Guardians	49-50	23-24	26-26	24-14	25-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	CLE	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7	CWS -120
May 9th	CLE	W 3-2	-	-	-
May 8th	@TB	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CWS +217
May 7th	@TB	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +220
May 6th	@TB	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	TB +138

Gabriel Arias
SS
Arias is out with leg
Out
Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Ryan Noda
1B
Noda is out with quad
Out
Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out
Shane Smith
SP
Smith is out with ankle
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	91	6.2	5	1
RC.Smith, P	5	0.1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	20	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Florial, LF	0-2	0	0	0
1D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1D.Fry, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5W.Brennan, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	0	0	0
9G.Arias, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Clevinger, P	73	4.2	5	1
LT.Hill, P	15	1.1	1	0
LJ.Shuster, P	27	2	2	0
RJ.Brebbia, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Pham, CF	1-3	0	0
1T.Pham, RF	1-3	0	0
2G.Sheets, RF	0-3	0	0
2R.Ortega, CF	0-0	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	2-4	1	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	1-3	0	0
4B.Shewmake, PR	0-0	0	0
4B.Shewmake, DH	0-0	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-3	0	1
6B.Ramos, 3B	0-4	0	0
7P.DeJong, SS	1-4	1	0
8N.Lopez, 2B	1-3	1	1
9M.Maldonado, C	1-3	0	1