Guardians vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 27, 2026

Guardians at Reds

11:10 pm • ESPN

Cleveland Guardians

Cincinnati Reds

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burns			2.42	12-1
S.Cecconi			4.60	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 54-53	+1.5	+1.5-151	o8.5-114	+136
Reds 49-55	u8.5	-1.5+125	u8.5-106	-165

Monday 11:10 p.m.

July 27, 2026

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

88°Fahrenheit

52%Rain

5Wind

C.Burns o6.5 Ks+107

$1.00

https://discord.gg/DSGgpzJ5x 🔥

CIN -164

C.Burns o6.5 Ks+110

0.91u

E.Suarez o0.5 HR+375

0.25u

@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/l6hZAcBu74b

S.Cecconi o15.5 Outs+110

0.45u

CIN -165

1.65u

N.Marte o0.5 HR+700

0.25u

There may be some value on Noelvi Marte's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.19 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.14. The model believes there is a 17% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +700. This play is good down to at least +557. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

E.Suarez o0.5 HR+430

0.25u

There may be some value on Eugenio Suarez's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.31 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.21. The model believes there is a 27% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +430. This play is good down to at least +313. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

Under 8.5-110

CLE +182 (F5)

0.5u

(FD) Cecconi 4.60 ERA aligns w/ weighted estimators around 4.5. Burns a run above 2.42 ERA, so about a full run separation, though Burns has struck out just 12 of 66 and CIN has pulled around 90 pitches 2 of L3. He just surpassed last year’s innings total. With Ramirez back, proj. CLE LU 98/98/81 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days, CIN 105/96/100. CLE 35 FRV, 5 BRR edges. CLE pen estimators more than a run better L30 days. Splitting unit between F5/full.

CLE +146

0.5u

(FD) See F5 notes.

Grant Neiffer's 5 Home Run Picks for Monday
Grant Neiffer•
Jul 27, 2026 UTC
Our 4 MLB Best Bets for Monday
Action Network Staff•
Jul 27, 2026 UTC
Guardians vs Reds: Target the Total in Monday’s Matchup
Sean Paul•
Jul 27, 2026 UTC
Get The Edge: Monday's Sharpest Spots Shown by BARTOLO
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 25, 2026 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 32-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Reds' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	56-48	24-26	32-22	16-15	40-32
Guardians	54-53	26-27	28-26	24-33	30-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	56-47-1	27-23	29-24-1	20-11	36-35-1
Guardians	50-57	27-26	23-31	29-28	20-27

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	49-55	22-28	27-27	17-14	32-40
Guardians	54-53	27-26	27-27	30-27	24-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	@STL	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +114
Jul 25th	@STL	L 0-7	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -115
Jul 25th	@STL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	CIN +124
Jul 22nd	@SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +144
Jul 22nd	@SEA	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN -101

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RS.Cecconi, P		4-7	4.60	1.447	7.12

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1S.Kwan, LF	.248	.351	.308	1
2J.Ramirez, DH	.236	.335	.405	10
3C.DeLauter, RF	.282	.352	.447	11
4T.Bazzana, 2B	.239	.335	.400	9
5B.Rocchio, SS	.268	.328	.398	9
6K.Manzardo, 1B	.209	.298	.358	11
7G.Arias, 3B	.252	.291	.405	5
8P.Bailey, C	.237	.283	.398	4
9P.Halpin, CF	.191	.215	.315	2

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RC.Burns, P		12-1	2.42	1.105	10.37

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1E.De La Cruz, SS	.278	.354	.506	18
2S.Stewart, 1B	.253	.329	.470	21
3J.Bleday, RF	.234	.343	.469	17
4E.Suarez, 3B	.207	.280	.402	14
5N.Lowe, DH	.256	.333	.475	12
6T.Stephenson, C	.244	.320	.392	8
7D.Myers, CF	.257	.356	.371	3
8E.Arroyo, 2B	.244	.288	.285	0
9T.Friedl, LF	.171	.259	.256	3