We are set to start the week with plenty of bangers as Monday's 12-game slate is loaded with great spots.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 6:45 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction, Pick
This is mostly just a price play.
This ballpark isn't great, and Tigers starter Keider Montero has been an average matchup for righty power in his career, but Pete Alonso is one of the best home run hitters in the league.
I have the true odds for the Orioles 1B at around +330, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction, Pick
C.J. Abrams might be the hottest hitter in the league right now, and this spot is incredible.
Blue Jays SP Max Scherzer isn't the same pitcher he used to be and is now possibly the best matchup in the league for lefty power. This season, he's given up a massive 3.86 HR/9 to lefties after giving up a 2.45 HR/9 last season.
He might be the worst pitcher in the league at this point, and the weather shouldn't be too bad for hitting.
I have the true odds for the Nationals SS at around +250.
Pick: C.J. Abrams Home Run
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Guardians vs Reds Prediction, Pick
This is a great spot for Sal Stewart, and these odds are too high. This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the matchup is good.
Guardians starter Slade Cecconi has been reverse splits when it comes to power, giving up a career 1.62 HR/9 to righties (1.40 HR/9 this season).
I have the true odds for the Reds 3B at around +300, making this a nice bet.
Pick: Sal Stewart Home Run
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Braves vs Mets Prediction, Pick
Ronald Acuna should be back in the lineup, and he is due for some massive positive regression this season.
Mets SP Zac Thornton hasn't had many starts in the majors, but he grades out as a good matchup for righty power.
The weather should be good for hitting, with temperatures in the low-80s and wind blowing out to left field at 9 mph.
I have the true odds here for the Braves RF at around +350.
Pick: Ronald Acuna Home Run
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Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, Pick
This is a great spot for Wilyer Abreu, and these odds are far too high.
We haven't seen much of Athletics starter Jack Perkins in the majors, but he grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temperatures in the low-90s and wind blowing out at 9 mph.
I have the true odds for the Red Sox RF at around +280, making this a great bet.
Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run
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