Guardians vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - August 11, 2023

Guardians at Rays

10:40 pm • BSSUN

Cleveland Guardians

23-15

8 - 9

Tampa Bay Rays

17-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Civale			5.36	2-3
X.Curry			4.07	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 23-15	+1.5-125	o8-121	+172
Rays 17-21	-1.5+105	u8-105	-210

Friday 10:40 p.m.

August 11, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB o4.5-115

TB o4.5-125

3.2u

R.Arozarena o0.5 HR+360

Third times a charm?

R.Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases-110

1.82u

TB o4.5-120

1.67u

Last time I promise #fuckgreg

CLE +184

0.5u

Bet to +180

Under 8.5-112

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored just 2.2 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- tied for third-lowest in MLB (116 games). The Rays have allowed just 2.3 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- tied for sixth-lowest in MLB (117 games).

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored just 3.7 runs per game at home over the last week -- second-lowest in MLB (66 games). The Rays have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road over the last week -- second-lowest in MLB (65 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 11, 2023 UTC
Guardians vs. Rays: Bet the Over in Tampa Bay
D.J. James•
Aug 11, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Rays are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Kole Calhoun has an OPS of just .585 since last season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 412 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Jason Adam has allowed an OPS of just .531 (429 PAs) since last season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jose Ramirez has struck out in just 11% of PA's over the last 30 days -- tied for ninth lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Aaron Civale has a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 30 days -- ninth lowest among qualified SPs-- ninth Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .348 (79 Total Bases / 227 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .504 -- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Civale has thrown his cutter 45% of the time (624/1,384) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total CUT; League Avg: 18% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 7-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Rays' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	18-21	11-16	7-5	8-12	10-8
Guardians	18-21	9-9	9-12	8-7	10-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	15-22-2	11-14-2	4-8	8-10-2	7-11
Guardians	20-16-3	7-10-1	13-6-2	10-5	10-10-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	18-21	11-16	7-5	10-10	8-10
Guardians	23-16	12-6	11-10	12-3	11-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 10th	STL	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	STL -202
Aug 9th	STL	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	STL -175
Aug 8th	STL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	TB -171
Aug 6th	@DET	W 10-6	-1.5 W	O 9	TB -171
Aug 5th	@DET	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -150

Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
SP
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
CF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Josh Lowe
RF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Jake Mangum
RF
Mangum is out with groin
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RX.Curry, P	70	5	1	5
LD. Norris, P	45	1.1	4	1
RM.Kelly, P	14	1.2	0	0
RN.Sandlin, P	3	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	0	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4K. Calhoun, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0	1
6W.Brennan, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Gonzalez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6O.Gonzalez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	2	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	2-5	2	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	91	5	2	2
LJ.Diekman, P	27	1	0	2
LC.Poche, P	9	1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	1	1
RP.Fairbanks, P	30	0.2	2	3
RR.Stephenson, P	5	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	1	0	1
2W. Franco, SS	2-4	2	1	3
3B.Lowe, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	1	0	1
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
6L.Raley, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Margot, PH	0-2	0	0	1
6M.Margot, CF	0-2	0	0	1
7H.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Lowe, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Lowe, RF	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-2	2	0	0