Giants vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2024

Giants at Marlins

10:40 pm • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

13-5

4 - 3

Miami Marlins

6-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Cabrera			4.95	4-8
K.Harrison			4.56	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 13-5	-1.5+140	o8.5-112	-115
Marlins 6-10	+1.5-166	u8.5-108	-105

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 15, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

K.Harrison o16.5 Outs-123

This marlins team can’t hit lefties right now - dead last in OPS and wRC+ with an almost 300 PA sample. And they swing early and often - 2nd highest swing rate (first in chase rate) and second fewest pitches per PA. Harrison over in 2/3 - miss was 5 IP vs LAD. He’s been economical with his pitches - 3.74 per batter so far. Primarily a 4-seam/changeup mix, and the Marlins are bottom 6 in wRC per 100 pitches vs each.

K.Harrison o5.5 Ks+120

1.5u

MIA +100

... previous playoff teams at home Overall: 358-295-0,55% (ROI:17%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:110%)

B.De La Cruz o0.5 Hits-240

0.43u

Seager ruled out 😭

SF -108

SF -115

1.5u

K.Harrison o16.5 Outs-130

SF -120

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Updated: Bet to -102 w Cabrera in for Puk

Featured Insight
The Giants have scored 1.3 runs per game in close and late situations since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB (207 games). The Marlins have allowed 1.3 runs per game in close and late situations since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB (213 games).

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Featured Insight
The Marlins batted .258 versus relief pitchers last season -- tied for fourth best in MLB. Opponents batted .249 (665-for-2,674) against Giants RPs last season -- eighth worst in MLB.

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The Marlins are 7-75 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Matt Chapman has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Tanner Scott has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Matt Chapman is slugging just .331 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Tanner Scott has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 77% (63/82) against Edward Cabrera's changeup since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 51% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (106/151) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	ATL	L 7-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL +120
Apr 13th	ATL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +185
Apr 12th	ATL	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL +165
Apr 10th	@NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +184
Apr 9th	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +180

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Harrison, P	85	6	2	3
RT.Rogers, P	10	1	0	0
RR.Walker, P	13	0.2	1	0
RC.Doval, P	27	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Lee, CF	2-4	1	1
2L.Wade, 1B	1-3	0	0
2W.Flores, PH	1-2	0	1
2W.Flores, 1B	1-2	0	1
3J.Soler, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Conforto, LF	1-4	0	1
5M.Chapman, 3B	0-4	0	0
6T.Estrada, 2B	1-4	1	0
7M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-3	1	0
8P.Bailey, C	0-2	0	1
9N.Ahmed, SS	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	91	6	10	1
RG.Soriano, P	23	0.2	0	3
LA.Nardi, P	19	0.1	0	0
RB.Hoeing, P	25	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	3-4	1	0	0
1L.Arraez, 1B	3-4	1	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	1-5	0	0	2
3J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4T.Anderson, SS	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	0	0	0
6A.Garcia, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7E.Rivera, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7V.Brujan, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Lopez, 3B	1-4	1	0	0