Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Braves at Marlins

5:40 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

27-35

9 - 7

Miami Marlins

23-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 27-35	-1.5+114	o8.5-107	-142
Marlins 23-38	+1.5-135	u8.5-112	+120

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 14, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

1.8u

MIA +120

0.83u

ATL -115 (F5)

0.43u

Flat to -120

J.Burger u0.5 Hits+155

1.55u

Big burgers

Over 8-117

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 8.5 (-120)

Featured Insight
Braves hitters are slugging .434 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- best in MLB. Marlins RPs have allowed a SLG of .415 since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins have struck out just 20% over the last week -- 10th lowest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Sunday
Anthony Dabbundo•
Apr 14, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Marlins are 7-75 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Braves are 14-51 (.215) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Matt Olson slugged .616 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 98% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs were 95+ MPH last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Ronald Acuna batted .315 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo had an average fastball velocity of 96.8 MPH last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (1,485/4,203) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton allowed an OBP of .344 (713 PA's) in the 2023 season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Marlins' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	31-30	16-18	15-12	2-7	28-23
Braves	26-36	14-17	12-19	18-29	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	33-28	17-17	16-11	4-5	29-22
Braves	24-33-5	9-19-3	15-14-2	19-25-3	5-8-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	23-38	14-20	9-18	4-5	19-32
Braves	27-35	17-14	10-21	23-24	4-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	ATL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +185
Apr 12th	ATL	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL +165
Apr 10th	@NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +184
Apr 9th	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +180
Apr 8th	@NYY	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	NYY +130

Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
P
Cox is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	79	5.2	8	6
LD.Lee, P	11	0.1	0	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	18	1	2	0
LA.Minter, P	10	1	3	0
RR.Iglesias, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-4	2	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	3-4	2	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	3-5	1	1	4
6A.Duvall, LF	1-3	1	1	2
7O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	0-3	0	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	94	5	4	5
RS.Sanchez, P	16	1	1	0
RA.Bender, P	17	1	1	1
LA.Nardi, P	12	1	3	0
LT.Scott, P	26	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Bell, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	0	1
5B.De La Cruz, DH	2-4	1	1	2
6J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	1	0	1
7N.Gordon, LF	1-4	1	1	2
8V.Brujan, SS	1-2	1	0	0
8T.Anderson, SS	0-1	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-4	0	0	0