Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Braves at Marlins

5:40 pm • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

28-37

9 - 7

Miami Marlins

24-40

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			5.00	3-6
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 28-37	-1.5+114	o8.5-107	-142
Marlins 24-40	+1.5-135	u8.5-112	+120

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 14, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

1.8u

MIA +120

0.83u

ATL -115 (F5)

0.43u

Flat to -120

J.Burger u0.5 Hits+155

1.55u

Big burgers

Over 8-117

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 8.5 (-120)

Featured Insight
Braves hitters are slugging .434 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- best in MLB. Marlins RPs have allowed a SLG of .415 since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins have struck out just 20% over the last week -- 10th lowest in MLB. Braves have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Sunday
Anthony Dabbundo•
Apr 14, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Marlins are 7-75 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Braves are 14-51 (.215) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Matt Olson slugged .616 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 98% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs were 95+ MPH last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Ronald Acuna batted .315 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo had an average fastball velocity of 96.8 MPH last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (1,485/4,203) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton allowed an OBP of .344 (713 PA's) in the 2023 season -- tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 18-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Marlins' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	34-31	16-18	18-13	2-7	31-23
Braves	28-38	14-17	14-21	19-31	9-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	35-30	17-17	18-13	4-5	30-24
Braves	25-36-5	9-19-3	16-17-2	20-27-3	5-9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	25-40	14-20	11-20	4-5	21-33
Braves	28-38	17-14	11-24	24-26	4-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	ATL	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +185
Apr 12th	ATL	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL +165
Apr 10th	@NYY	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +184
Apr 9th	@NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +180
Apr 8th	@NYY	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	NYY +130

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Nacho Alvarez
SS
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	79	5.2	8	6
LD.Lee, P	11	0.1	0	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	18	1	2	0
LA.Minter, P	10	1	3	0
RR.Iglesias, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-4	2	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	3-4	2	0	1
5M.Ozuna, DH	3-5	1	1	4
6A.Duvall, LF	1-3	1	1	2
7O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	0-3	0	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	94	5	4	5
RS.Sanchez, P	16	1	1	0
RA.Bender, P	17	1	1	1
LA.Nardi, P	12	1	3	0
LT.Scott, P	26	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Bell, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	0	1
5B.De La Cruz, DH	2-4	1	1	2
6J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	1	0	1
7N.Gordon, LF	1-4	1	1	2
8V.Brujan, SS	1-2	1	0	0
8T.Anderson, SS	0-1	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-4	0	0	0