Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

Diamondbacks at Brewers

6:10 pm • BSWI
9 - 10
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Frankie Montas logoF.MontasMilwaukee Brewers logo5.014-8
Jordan Montgomery logoJ.MontgomeryArizona Diamondbacks logo6.238-7

Diamondbacks at Brewers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-182
o8-115
+115
Brewers
1-2
u8.5
-1.5+150
u8-105
-135
location pinSunday 6:10 p.m.
September 22, 2024
American Family FieldMilwaukee
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
24d ago
Last 30d: 55-60-2 (-10.2u)
MIL -125
0.8u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Frankie Montas takes the mound for the Brewers, coming into this game with a solid, though not spectacular, 7-11 record, a 4.50 ERA, and 138 strikeouts over 144 2/3 innings. Montas has shown consistency with a .240 opponent batting average, and he recently held the Diamondbacks to just 1 earned run in their last meeting. His ability to keep opposing hitters in check, combined with his 8.6 K/9 rate, positions him well to contain a Diamondbacks lineup that has been inconsistent. Montas’ familiarity with Arizona gives the Brewers an edge, and even though he allowed three earned runs in his last outing against the Phillies, his overall body of work suggests he can handle this Diamondbacks lineup. The Brewers' offense has been clicking, ranking seventh in MLB with 740 runs scored and maintaining a .248 team batting average. Notably, their .252 batting average at home against left-handed pitchers is a key factor here. Facing Jordan Montgomery, who has been vulnerable with a 6.23 ERA this season, Milwaukee’s offense should be primed for a productive game. Montgomery has struggled to limit damage, surrendering a .311 batting average to opposing hitters and managing just 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings. His 3 earned runs allowed against the Brewers in their last encounter isn’t a promising sign, especially considering he has consistently failed to escape innings cleanly. Milwaukee's bullpen further solidifies their advantage, boasting a remarkable 2.68 ERA, which contrasts with the Diamondbacks’ less impressive 3.48 bullpen ERA. The Brewers’ relievers have been lights out, offering a reliable safety net if Montas can provide solid innings. The combination of Montas' stability on the mound, Milwaukee’s strong offensive metrics, and a bullpen that ranks among the best in MLB gives the Brewers a clear edge in this matchup. Montgomery’s persistent struggles to keep opposing hitters off base make this a tough spot for Arizona.
Anthony Dabbundo
Anthony Dabbundo
24d ago
Last 30d: 71-77-3 (-6.8u)
MIL -130
1u
Dan Gaspar
Dan Gaspar
24d ago
Last 30d: 17-12-1 (+4.1u)
F.Montas u17.5 Outs-105
1u
Stephen Keech
Stephen Keech
24d ago
Last 30d: 54-28-1 (+13.0u)
F.Montas u17.5 Outs+102
3.06u
should only see 5 innings
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
24d ago
Last 30d: 143-172-6 (-7.4u)
Under 8.5+102
0.5u
Bet to -104
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
24d ago
Last 30d: 46-82-1 (-8.7u)
Over 8.5-124
0.4u

PRO Insights

Diamondbacks logo

Diamondbacks

ARI Insights
  • Diamondbacks logoThe Diamondbacks have scored 8.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (5 games). The Brewers have allowed 5.8 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games).
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Brewers logo

Brewers

MIL Insights
  • Brewers logoThe Brewers are batting .268 with RISP since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .277 (340-for-1,226) against Diamondbacks RPs with RISP since last season -- tied for third worst in MLB.
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Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Previews & Analysis

  • 3 MLB Player Props for Sunday article feature image

    3 MLB Player Props for Sunday

    Doug Ziefel
    Sep 22, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Public Betting Percentages

35%

Bets%

65%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
87-7544-3743-3843-4843-26
Diamondbacks
82-8037-4445-3637-4843-31

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Brewers
81-70-1140-33-841-37-341-43-740-25-4
Diamondbacks
92-64-650-29-242-35-450-33-241-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
93-6947-3446-3554-3738-31
Diamondbacks
89-7344-3745-3652-3335-39

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 21stARIL 0-5+1.5 LU 8ARI -110
Sep 21stARIL 4-7+1.5 LO 8.5ARI +114
Sep 19thARIL 1-5+1.5 LU 8.5ARI +105
Sep 18thPHIW 2-1+1.5 WU 7.5MIL -112
Sep 17thPHIL 1-5+1.5 LU 7.5PHI +120

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Wade Miley
    P

    Miley is out with elbow

    Out

  • Christian Yelich
    OF

    Yelich is out with back

    Out

  • Brandon Woodruff
    P

    Woodruff is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Robert Gasser
    P

    Gasser is out with elbow

    Out

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Ryne Nelson
    P

    Nelson is out with shoulder

    Out

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Jordan Montgomery logoLJ.Montgomery, P914.163
Yilber Diaz logoRY.Diaz, P351.220
Ryan Thompson logoRR.Thompson, P18102
Joe Mantiply logoLJ.Mantiply, P210.203
Justin Martinez logoRJ.Martinez, P220.111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Pavin Smith logo1P.Smith, RF1-4100
Christian Walker logo1C.Walker, PH0-0100
Christian Walker logo1C.Walker, 1B0-0100
Ketel Marte logo2K.Marte, 2B1-4211
Joc Pederson logo3J.Pederson, DH0-3100
Randal Grichuk logo3R.Grichuk, PH1-1001
Randal Grichuk logo3R.Grichuk, DH1-1001
Lourdes Gurriel logo4L.Gurriel, LF1-5001
Jake McCarthy logo5J.McCarthy, CF1-4102
Josh Bell logo6J.Bell, 1B1-3112
Corbin Carroll logo6C.Carroll, RF0-1000
Eugenio Suarez logo7E.Suarez, 3B2-5111
Gabriel Moreno logo8G.Moreno, C0-1000
Jose Herrera logo8J.Herrera, C0-2000
Geraldo Perdomo logo9G.Perdomo, SS1-3100
Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Frankie Montas logoRF.Montas, P682.247
Aaron Ashby logoLA.Ashby, P291.140
DL Hall logoLD.Hall, P33230
Joel Payamps logoRJ.Payamps, P10120
Jared Koenig logoLJ.Koenig, P21101
Devin Williams logoRD.Williams, P21120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jackson Chourio logo1J.Chourio, LF2-4101
Blake Perkins logo2B.Perkins, CF2-5101
William Contreras logo3W.Contreras, DH1-2000
Garrett Mitchell logo3G.Mitchell, PR2-2201
Garrett Mitchell logo3G.Mitchell, DH2-2201
Rhys Hoskins logo4R.Hoskins, 1B2-4203
Willy Adames logo5W.Adames, SS3-5101
Gary Sanchez logo6G.Sanchez, C0-3100
Jake Bauers logo6J.Bauers, PH1-1001
Eric Haase logo6E.Haase, C0-0000
Sal Frelick logo7S.Frelick, RF2-5001
Joey Ortiz logo8J.Ortiz, 3B1-3201
Brice Turang logo9B.Turang, 2B0-4000

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks at Brewers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Diamondbacks
0-0
o3.5-125
u3.5-105
Brewers
1-2
o4.5+114
u4.5-145