Cubs vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Cubs at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

Chicago Cubs

11-5

0 - 17

Boston Red Sox

11-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Winckowski			4.14	4-2
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	-1.5	-1.5+136	o9-110	-118
Red Sox 11-7	u8.5	+1.5-162	u9-110	-101

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Cubs RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. The Red Sox are batting just .182 with RISP over the last two weeks -- fourth worst in MLB.

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A Staggering Saturday Betting Model Edge
PJ Walsh•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Bobby Dalbec has an OPS of just .268 this season -- fourth worst among hitters with at least 36 total PA's-- first Percentile. Hayden Wesneski has allowed an OPS of just .150 (20 PAs) this season -- best among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Enmanuel Valdez has an OPS of just .444 this season -- third worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Keegan Thompson has allowed an OPS of just .296 (35 PAs) this season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .481 (50-for-104) against Josh Winckowski when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .331 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	CHC	L 1-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CHC -108
Apr 25th	@CLE	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE +110
Apr 24th	@CLE	W 8-0	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +110
Apr 23rd	@CLE	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE +105
Apr 21st	@PIT	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	BOS +130

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	61	3.2	4	3
LL.Little, P	34	0.2	1	5
RC.Brewer, P	42	2.2	1	3
RP.Wisdom, P	13	0.1	0	0
RM.Mervis, P	37	0.2	0	6

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1N.Hoerner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Tauchman, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3N.Madrigal, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4P.Wisdom, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Busch, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Canario, LF	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Mervis, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Mervis, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	2-4	0	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Winckowski, P	52	3	1
LB.Bernardino, P	19	1	1
RJ.Slaten, P	25	2	2
LC.Booser, P	27	2	3
RP.Reyes, P	18	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Reyes, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
3T.O'Neill, LF	3-5	3	1	2
4W.Abreu, RF	2-6	2	0	1
5C.Wong, C	0-4	1	0	0
5C.Wong, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	4-5	3	0	1
6R.McGuire, C	0-0	0	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
7R.Refsnyder, PH	0-0	0	0	0
7D.Hamilton, PR	1-2	2	0	1
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-2	2	0	1
8B.Dalbec, 1B	2-4	2	0	3
8B.Dalbec, 3B	2-4	2	0	3
9C.Rafaela, SS	4-4	3	1	7