Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 12, 2024

Cubs at Dodgers

2:10 am • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

3-0

8 - 10

Los Angeles Dodgers

0-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			8.52	2-4
J.Wicks			5.48	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 3-0	+1.5	+1.5-149	o9-116	+136
Dodgers 0-3	u9	-1.5+124	u9-103	-162

Thursday 2:10 a.m.

September 12, 2024

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

LAD -163

Over 9-105

$1428.57

S.Suzuki o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

LAD -1.5+120

1.2u

Johnny

S.Suzuki o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

0.87u

S.Suzuki o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

⭐️ Play of the Day -2+ HRR in 9/L12 Road Games -12/L13 Batted Balls hit 90+ MPH Exit Velo -Cubs rank 8th in wRC+ vs RHP L15 Days -Bobby Miller 2nd percentile in Barrel%, 5th Percentile xBAA, 1st Percentile xERA -1 for 2 with a double vs Bobby Miller (CHC scored 5 Runs in 1.2 IP vs Miller back in April)

B.Miller u16.5 Outs-114

He’s under in 8/11 starts this season, with a 7.79 ERA / 6.64 xERA. His control has been an issue, with an 11.3% BB%, a zone% that would rank in the bottom 12th percentile if he qualified, and more than 4 pitches per PA. The Cubs are hitting well vs righties over the L30 days: 119 wRC+, .780 OPS, and a 10.2% walk rate. Plus, they have the 9th lowest chase rate over the L30 days, and overall are seeing the 10th most pitches per PA. Dodgers pen is in decent enough shape too - they won’t push miller, who has battled too many injuries this season.

LAD -1.5+128

0.64u

Featured Insight
Cubs right-handed hitters have struck out just 10% against LHP over the last week -- third lowest in MLB. Dodgers RPs have a strikeout rate of just 13% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Dodgers hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 47% against the Cubs RPs over the last two weeks -- tied for second worst in MLB.

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The Cubs are 14-25 (.359) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Miguel Rojas has struck out in just 7% of PA's over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Jordan Wicks has a strikeout rate of just 10% over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth lowest among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 11th	CHC	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CHC -155
Sep 10th	CHC	L 4-10	-1.5 L	O 10	CHC -198
Sep 8th	CLE	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	LAD -166
Sep 8th	CLE	W 7-2	-1.5 W	U 9	LAD -158
Sep 7th	CLE	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -151

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out
Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wicks, P	78	3	2	7
RE.Roberts, P	21	1	2	0
RK.Thompson, P	11	1	0	0
RT.Miller, P	11	1	1	0
RS.Armstrong, P	17	1	0	1
RT.Wingenter, P	20	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	1-5	1	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-3	2	0	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	1-3	2	1	1
4C.Bellinger, RF	1-3	2	1	3
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-1	1	0	2
6M.Busch, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
7N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Tauchman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	90	4.1	2	6
RD.Hudson, P	22	0.2	1	1
RB.Treinen, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Vesia, P	17	1	0	0
RE.Phillips, P	9	1	1	0
RM.Kopech, P	22	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	2-4	1	1	3
2M.Betts, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
4T.Hernandez, LF	2-4	2	0	0
4E.Hernandez, LF	0-0	0	0	0
5T.Edman, CF	2-5	2	2	4
6W.Smith, C	2-5	2	1	1
7M.Muncy, 3B	1-2	2	1	1
8M.Rojas, SS	2-3	1	0	0
9C.Taylor, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9G.Lux, PH	1-2	0	0	1
9G.Lux, 2B	1-2	0	0	1