Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2023

Cubs at Cardinals

11:15 pm • BSMW

Chicago Cubs

60-41

5 - 1

St. Louis Cardinals

52-50

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A. Wainwright			7.40	5-11
J.Taillon			4.84	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 60-41	-1.5+148	o10-105	-110
Cardinals 52-50	+1.5-176	u10-116	-110

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

July 29, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Over 10-103

1.03u

J.Taillon u16.5 Outs-105

1.05u

Under in 12/17 this season, and although a bunch of the overs have come recently, I like the Cards to chase him in this familiar matchup. 2.2 IP vs STL back in May, and 5.2 IP in his last start - but it took him a season high 109 pitches and it was against a very watered down STL lineup (no Goldy, Contreras or Gorman). He should see 5 LHH, which is his worse split (.942 OPS). Cards bats have been hot - 123 wRC+ over the L30 days vs righties, and the Cubs pen is in good shape.

Under 10-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

CHC +108

0.54u

Bet to +102

CHC +102 (F5)

0.51u

Bet to -102

The Cardinals are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nico Hoerner is batting .284 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting .279 (160-for-573) on Adam Wainwright breaking pitches since last season -- fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

36% of Ian Happ strikeouts are looking this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 48% of Adam Wainwright strikeouts are looking this season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting .403 (27-for-67) against Adam Wainwright this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .251 -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 27-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Cardinals' 49 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	54-48	27-22	27-26	20-26	33-22
Cubs	51-50	25-26	26-24	38-31	13-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	53-44-5	27-20-2	26-24-3	24-18-4	28-26-1
Cubs	50-46-5	27-22-2	23-24-3	33-33-3	17-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	52-50	29-20	23-30	25-21	26-29
Cubs	60-41	33-18	27-23	48-21	12-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	CHC	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CHC -161
Jul 27th	CHC	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CHC -120
Jul 26th	@ARI	W 11-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL +131
Jul 26th	@ARI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI -110
Jul 25th	@ARI	W 10-6	+1.5 W	O 10	STL +140

Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

Jameson Taillon
SP
Taillon is out with calf
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	84	6	4	1
RM.Fulmer, P	17	1	0	0
RM.Leiter, P	28	0.2	0	0
RJ.Assad, P	2	0.1	0	0
RD.Palencia, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	3-5	1	0	1
2N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	1	2
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Morel, DH	1-3	1	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	1	1	2
9N.Madrigal, 3B	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA. Wainwright, P	87	6	3	4
RD. VerHagen, P	18	0.2	1	1
RA.Pallante, P	24	2.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, DH	1-5	1	0
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-3	0	0
3L.Nootbaar, LF	1-2	0	1
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0
5N.Gorman, 2B	0-2	0	0
6W.Contreras, C	1-3	0	0
7J.Walker, RF	1-4	0	0
8D.Carlson, CF	0-4	0	0
9P.DeJong, SS	0-3	0	0
9A.Burleson, PH	0-1	0	0