Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2024

Cubs at Brewers

11:40 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

49-35

6 - 3

Milwaukee Brewers

47-37

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 49-35	+1.5-150	o8+100	+140
Brewers 47-37	-1.5+125	u8-116	-165

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

May 28, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

CHC +140

2.1u

CHC +140

0.7u

CHC +140

1.4u

Over 8-110

F.Peralta o7.5 Ks+100

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Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed just 2.7 runs per game over the last week -- second lowest in MLB (6 games). The Cubs have scored just 3.0 runs per game over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB (5 games).

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The Cubs are 26-22 (.542) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.

Dansby Swanson has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Michael Busch has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- tied for third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 31% this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (137/307) against right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total CB; League Avg: 13% -- 100th Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (79/154) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total CB; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 23-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Brewers' 44 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	44-40	21-23	23-17	20-21	23-19
Cubs	42-42	19-21	23-21	31-26	11-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	33-48-3	16-27-1	17-21-2	16-24-1	17-23-2
Cubs	43-36-5	21-17-2	22-19-3	28-26-3	15-10-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	47-37	27-17	20-20	27-14	19-23
Cubs	49-35	25-15	24-20	39-18	10-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 27th	CHC	W 5-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIL -105
May 26th	@BOS	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS +120
May 25th	@BOS	W 6-3	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL +130
May 24th	@BOS	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIL +114
May 22nd	@MIA	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 7	MIA -130

Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
RP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	93	7	10	0
RH.Wesneski, P	12	0.2	2	0
RM.Leiter, P	5	0.1	1	0
RH.Neris, P	15	1	0	1
LL.Little, P	17	0.2	0	1
RT.Miller, P	7	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, RF	1-5	1	0	1
2S.Suzuki, DH	1-5	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-5	1	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	1-5	1	0	2
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
7M.Busch, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
8D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	2-4	0	0	0
9L.Vazquez, PR	0-0	1	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	111	5.2	11	1
LJ.Koenig, P	4	0.1	1	0
RE.Paredes, P	11	1	1	0
RJ.Payamps, P	14	1	0	0
RE.Peguero, P	19	1	2	0
RT.Megill, P	3	0	0	1
LH.Milner, P	15	0.2	0	3
RM.White, P	3	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-4	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-4	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	0-3	1	0
3C.Yelich, LF	0-3	1	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1
5J.Bauers, 1B	0-3	0	0
5J.Bauers, RF	0-3	0	0
6J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	1	0
7S.Frelick, RF	1-3	0	1
7S.Frelick, CF	1-3	0	1
8J.Chourio, LF	0-2	0	0
8O.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0
8O.Miller, 1B	1-1	0	1
9B.Perkins, CF	0-2	0	0
9G.Sanchez, PH	0-1	0	0
9A.Monasterio, PH	0-1	0	0