Cardinals vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2025

Cardinals at Royals

11:40 pm • FDSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

55-53

10 - 3

Kansas City Royals

52-55

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Ragans			5.18	2-3
A.Pallante			4.62	6-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 55-53	+1.5	+1.5-162	o8.5-113	+130
Royals 52-55	u8.5	-1.5+135	u8.5-108	-155

Friday 11:40 p.m.

May 16, 2025

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 8.5-105

1.05u

Under 8.5-105

1.25u

STL +135

1.35u

Cardinals are rolling – 14-5 since April 23, including 5-1 on this road trip. Just dropped 14 runs on Philly. Outscored opponents 62-27 over last 9. Team BA up to .262 (4th in MLB), rank 7th in runs/gm. Nootbaar hitting .367 during 7-game streak. Lineup clicking. Pallante coming off 7.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K vs Nats – looked sharp. Cards’ pitching staff has a 2.48 ERA in last 9. Bullpen elite lately – top 5 in MLB last 10 games. Royals' Witt Jr. is 0-for-6 career vs Pallante. St. Louis pitching depth gives them clear edge in late innings. Royals fading – 4 losses in last 5, just 13 total runs in that span. Rank 27th in runs/gm (3.42), last in HRs (29), 26th in OPS. KC averages just 3.4 runs at home (29th). Ragans has 6.88 ERA in last 4 starts – not going past 5 IP lately.

KC -148

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C.Ragans o7.5 Ks+124

In the alt market at FanDuel. Ragans has an absurd 38% strikeout rate this year with a 15.6% swinging-strike rate. Even after regressing him from that number, I still have Ragans projected at 7.96 strikeouts. Pitchers in that range for me have hit eight-plus strikeouts 52.4% of the time, allowing me to dip into the alt market.

KC -155 (F5)

0.39u

Bet to -190 with full game ML to -174

KC -155

0.78u

Bet to -173

Cardinals vs. Royals: Back Ragans & KC in F5
Doug Ziefel•
May 16, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 32-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Royals' 54 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	56-51	24-30	32-21	18-24	37-27
Cardinals	57-51	30-24	27-27	22-29	34-22

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	43-63-1	20-34	23-29-1	18-24	25-38-1
Cardinals	55-47-6	29-22-3	26-25-3	26-20-5	28-27-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	52-55	26-28	26-27	22-20	29-35
Cardinals	55-53	32-22	23-31	27-24	27-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	@HOU	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU +105
May 14th	@HOU	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +119
May 13th	@HOU	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8	KC +107
May 11th	BOS	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS -135
May 10th	BOS	L 1-10	+1.5 L	O 7	BOS -115

Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

Michael Lorenzen
SP
Michael Lorenzen (illness) has been scratched, Angel Zerpa will start Saturday,
Out
Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Pallante, P		100	7	4	2
RG.Graceffo, P		36	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Nootbaar, LF	2-5	1	0
2M.Winn, SS	1-4	2	0
3B.Donovan, 2B	3-5	2	1
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-4	0	1
5W.Contreras, 1B	2-5	3	1
6I.Herrera, DH	3-4	2	4
7P.Pages, C	1-4	0	1
8J.Walker, RF	1-4	0	1
9V.Scott, CF	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	83	5	7	4
RJ.Schreiber, P	24	0.1	0	2
LD.Lynch, P	3	0.2	0	0
LA.Zerpa, P	20	1	0	0
RC.Stratton, P	36	2	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	1	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0	1
5M.Garcia, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
6M.Massey, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Biggio, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8D.Waters, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0	0