Cardinals vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2025

Cardinals at Royals

11:40 pm • FDSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

26-20

10 - 3

Kansas City Royals

25-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Ragans			4.53	2-3
A.Pallante			4.11	4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 26-20	+1.5	+1.5-162	o8.5-113	+130
Royals 25-22	u8.5	-1.5+135	u8.5-108	-155

Friday 11:40 p.m.

May 16, 2025

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 8.5-105

1.05u

STL +135

1.35u

Cardinals are rolling – 14-5 since April 23, including 5-1 on this road trip. Just dropped 14 runs on Philly. Outscored opponents 62-27 over last 9. Team BA up to .262 (4th in MLB), rank 7th in runs/gm. Nootbaar hitting .367 during 7-game streak. Lineup clicking. Pallante coming off 7.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K vs Nats – looked sharp. Cards’ pitching staff has a 2.48 ERA in last 9. Bullpen elite lately – top 5 in MLB last 10 games. Royals' Witt Jr. is 0-for-6 career vs Pallante. St. Louis pitching depth gives them clear edge in late innings. Royals fading – 4 losses in last 5, just 13 total runs in that span. Rank 27th in runs/gm (3.42), last in HRs (29), 26th in OPS. KC averages just 3.4 runs at home (29th). Ragans has 6.88 ERA in last 4 starts – not going past 5 IP lately.

KC -148

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C.Ragans o7.5 Ks+124

In the alt market at FanDuel. Ragans has an absurd 38% strikeout rate this year with a 15.6% swinging-strike rate. Even after regressing him from that number, I still have Ragans projected at 7.96 strikeouts. Pitchers in that range for me have hit eight-plus strikeouts 52.4% of the time, allowing me to dip into the alt market.

KC -155 (F5)

0.39u

Bet to -190 with full game ML to -174

KC -155

0.78u

Bet to -173

Cardinals vs. Royals: Back Ragans & KC in F5
Doug Ziefel•
May 16, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 12-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Royals' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	26-21	14-11	12-10	11-10	14-11
Cardinals	26-20	13-8	13-12	5-8	20-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	16-30-1	9-16	7-14-1	8-13	8-16-1
Cardinals	24-20-2	11-9-1	13-11-1	8-4-1	15-16-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	25-22	16-9	9-13	13-8	11-14
Cardinals	26-20	15-6	11-14	7-6	18-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	@HOU	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU +105
May 14th	@HOU	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +119
May 13th	@HOU	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8	KC +107
May 11th	BOS	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BOS -135
May 10th	BOS	L 1-10	+1.5 L	O 7	BOS -115

Seth Lugo
P
Lugo is out with finger
Out
Cole Ragans
P
Ragans is out with groin
Out
Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Pallante, P		100	7	4	2
RG.Graceffo, P		36	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Nootbaar, LF	2-5	1	0
2M.Winn, SS	1-4	2	0
3B.Donovan, 2B	3-5	2	1
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-4	0	1
5W.Contreras, 1B	2-5	3	1
6I.Herrera, DH	3-4	2	4
7P.Pages, C	1-4	0	1
8J.Walker, RF	1-4	0	1
9V.Scott, CF	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	83	5	7	4
RJ.Schreiber, P	24	0.1	0	2
LD.Lynch, P	3	0.2	0	0
LA.Zerpa, P	20	1	0	0
RC.Stratton, P	36	2	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	1	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0	1
5M.Garcia, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
6M.Massey, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Biggio, DH	1-4	0	0	0
8D.Waters, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0	0