Cardinals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Cardinals at Mets

5:40 pm • BSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

46-38

2 - 4

New York Mets

48-36

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10
L.Lynn			3.84	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 46-38	+1.5-185	o8-118	+120
Mets 48-36	-1.5+152	u8-102	-140

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 28, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

P.Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases+155

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives him a strong advantage in this matchup and +ev bet with devig odds of +127 giving value to this number

NYM -110

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -118

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have allowed a SLG of just .293 this season -- best in MLB. Cardinals hitters are slugging just .315 versus relief pitchers this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Sunday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 28, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Nolan Gorman has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Adam Ottavino has a strikeout rate of 49% this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (32/190) against Jose Quintana this season -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- fourth Percentile.

Lance Lynn has a strikeout rate of 46% (10 SO in 22 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (228/401) against right-handed batters this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 20-23 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Mets' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	42-42	22-19	20-23	28-31	14-11
Cardinals	46-38	23-20	23-18	15-21	30-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	35-48-1	17-23-1	18-25	29-29-1	6-19
Cardinals	44-37-3	23-19-1	21-18-2	20-14-2	23-23-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	48-36	29-12	19-24	39-20	9-16
Cardinals	46-38	26-17	20-21	20-16	25-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	STL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	STL +115
Apr 26th	STL	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -125
Apr 24th	@SF	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -112
Apr 24th	@SF	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7	SF +114
Apr 23rd	@SF	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SF -107

Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kodai Senga
SP
Senga is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	87	5	3	1
RR.Fernandez, P	18	2	3	0
RG.Gallegos, P	21	0.2	0	0
LM.Liberatore, P	38	3	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	1-5	0	1
2W.Contreras, DH	1-4	0	0
3N.Arenado, 3B	0-5	0	0
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-3	0	0
5I.Herrera, C	0-3	0	0
5A.Burleson, PH	0-1	0	0
5P.Pages, C	0-0	0	0
6L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	0	0
7M.Winn, SS	1-4	1	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-3	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-3	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	99	8	3	1
RE.Diaz, P	20	1	2	0
RR.Garrett, P	20	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	1-3	1	1	1
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
4D.Stewart, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-5	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	2-5	1	0	1
8B.Baty, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Vientos, PH	2-2	1	1	2
8M.Vientos, 3B	2-2	1	1	2
9T.Nido, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Martinez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0