Cardinals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Cardinals at Mets

5:40 pm • BSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

2 - 4

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10
L.Lynn			3.84	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	+1.5-185	o8-118	+120
Mets 7-6	-1.5+152	u8-102	-140

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 28, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

P.Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases+155

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives him a strong advantage in this matchup and +ev bet with devig odds of +127 giving value to this number

NYM -110

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to -118

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have allowed a SLG of just .293 this season -- best in MLB. Cardinals hitters are slugging just .315 versus relief pitchers this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Sunday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 28, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Nolan Gorman has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Adam Ottavino has a strikeout rate of 49% this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (32/190) against Jose Quintana this season -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- fourth Percentile.

Lance Lynn has a strikeout rate of 46% (10 SO in 22 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 98th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (228/401) against right-handed batters this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	STL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	STL +115
Apr 26th	STL	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -125
Apr 24th	@SF	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -112
Apr 24th	@SF	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7	SF +114
Apr 23rd	@SF	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SF -107

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out
Drew Rom
P
Rom is out with biceps
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	87	5	3	1
RR.Fernandez, P	18	2	3	0
RG.Gallegos, P	21	0.2	0	0
LM.Liberatore, P	38	3	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	1-5	0	1
2W.Contreras, DH	1-4	0	0
3N.Arenado, 3B	0-5	0	0
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-3	0	0
5I.Herrera, C	0-3	0	0
5A.Burleson, PH	0-1	0	0
5P.Pages, C	0-0	0	0
6L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	0	0
7M.Winn, SS	1-4	1	0
8N.Gorman, 2B	0-3	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-3	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	99	8	3	1
RE.Diaz, P	20	1	2	0
RR.Garrett, P	20	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	1-3	1	1	1
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
4D.Stewart, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-5	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	2-5	1	0	1
8B.Baty, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8M.Vientos, PH	2-2	1	1	2
8M.Vientos, 3B	2-2	1	1	2
9T.Nido, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Martinez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0