Cardinals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Cardinals at Mets

8:05 pm • FOX

St. Louis Cardinals

36-28

7 - 4

New York Mets

41-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			5.84	1-5
S.Gray			3.84	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 36-28	-1.5+124	o7.5-110	-135
Mets 41-24	+1.5-148	u7.5-110	+115

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +115

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Under 8-125

0.63u

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have allowed a SLG of just .299 this season -- third best in MLB. Cardinals hitters are slugging just .323 versus relief pitchers this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Picks: Saturday Model Predictions
Billy Ward•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Nolan Gorman has struck out in 36% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Reed Garrett has a strikeout rate of 50% this season -- tied for second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Joey Wendle has an OPS of just .608 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst among hitters with at least 522 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .481 (438 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (350/469) with runners in scoring position since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .177 (51 Total Bases / 288 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .382 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 17-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Mets' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	35-30	18-13	17-17	23-24	12-6
Cardinals	35-29	19-13	16-16	10-16	24-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	23-41-1	11-19-1	12-22	20-26-1	3-15
Cardinals	34-28-2	17-14-1	17-14-1	15-10-1	18-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	41-24	24-7	17-17	32-15	9-9
Cardinals	36-28	22-10	14-18	14-12	21-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	STL	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -125
Apr 24th	@SF	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -112
Apr 24th	@SF	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7	SF +114
Apr 23rd	@SF	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SF -107
Apr 21st	@LAD	L 0-10	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +210

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	92	6	9	1
LJ.Romero, P	12	1	2	0
RA.Kittredge, P	11	1	1	0
RR.Helsley, P	24	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	2-4	1	1
2W.Contreras, C	1-5	1	0
3L.Nootbaar, RF	0-4	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-4	2	1
5P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-5	2	2
6A.Burleson, DH	1-2	0	0
6I.Herrera, PH	0-1	0	0
6I.Herrera, DH	0-1	0	0
7N.Gorman, 2B	2-4	1	1
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	89	4.1	2	6
LJ.Walker, P	24	1.1	1	0
RD.Nunez, P	25	1	3	0
LJ.Diekman, P	22	1.1	1	1
RS.Reid-Foley, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	2-4	1	0	2
2F.Lindor, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
8M.Vientos, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8M.Vientos, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Nido, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-2	0	0	0