Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Braves at Mets

8:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

20-21

4 - 0

New York Mets

27-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.04	4-5
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 20-21	-1.5+170	o7.5-119	+101
Mets 27-15	+1.5-202	u7.5-102	-120

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

ATL +110

0.28u

Small to +105

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

ATL +103

2.06u

S.Schwellenbach u5.5 Hits Allowed-160

1.25u

Projection lands at 5.05 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -234 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

Under 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -110

ATL -105

BP6

Featured Insight
The Braves have scored first in 60% of their games since last season -- highest in MLB. The Mets have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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The Braves are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Jarred Kelenic has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Dedniel Nunez has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 28% of PA's since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 35% (124/353) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 99th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 71% (562/795) this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 9-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Mets' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	21-21	12-8	9-13	15-17	6-4
Braves	18-23	10-9	8-14	12-19	6-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	16-25-1	7-12-1	9-13	16-15-1	0-10
Braves	16-22-3	7-11-1	9-11-2	13-17-1	3-5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	27-15	16-4	11-11	22-10	5-5
Braves	20-21	13-6	7-15	17-14	3-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	ATL	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -135
Jul 25th	ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	NYM +100
Jul 24th	@NYY	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +143
Jul 23rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +130
Jul 22nd	@MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -148

Ronald Acuna
RF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with hamstring
Out
Nacho Alvarez
SS
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
SP
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
SS
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Schwellenbach, P	89	7	11
RJ.Jimenez, P	8	1	1
RR.Iglesias, P	17	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5A.Duvall, RF	2-4	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7S.Murphy, C	0-2	1	0	0
8N.Alvarez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	95	6	4	4
LD.Young, P	35	2	5	0
LA.Young, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	1-3	0	0	0